CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill
$30.54
▼ 6.0%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▼ Down 37.3% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$41.68B
P/E
29.42x
Forward P/E (est.)
30.67x
ROE
48.4%
Revenue Growth
5.7%
EPS Growth
-4.1%
Profit Margin
12.0%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
0x
ROIC
64.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
0.92x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
5.3%
Rating Score
55/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what CMG's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. CMG trades near $30.54, below its 50-day average ($32.67) and 200-day average ($35.82). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 53 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. CMG's is $1.26 (~4.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month CMG found buyers near $28.04 (support) and sellers near $33.45 (resistance); its 52-week range is $28.04–$58.42. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.4× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) is a large-cap company in the Restaurants industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $41.68B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $11.93B in revenue and $1.54B in net profit.
Our model rates CMG Neutral (55/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
12.1%
Revenue moved from $7.55B in 2021 to $11.93B in 2025, a 12.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 5.7% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
30.0%
Operating Margin
16.2%
Net Margin
12.9%
ROE
48.4%
Chipotle Mexican Grill keeps about 12.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 30.0% gross margin and 16.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 48.4% and return on invested capital about 64.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$0.00
Net Debt
-$246.64M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.13x
Debt / Equity
0x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.0x, with a current ratio of 0.9x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $0.00 of total debt against $246.64M of cash.
Operating CF
$2.11B
Free Cash Flow
$1.45B
FCF Margin
12.1%
In the latest year Chipotle Mexican Grill produced about $2.11B of operating cash flow and $1.45B of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
29.42x
P/S
3.6x
P/B
17.22x
EV / EBITDA
18.1x
CMG trades at 29.4x trailing earnings (about 30.7x on estimated forward earnings), 3.6x sales, and 17.2x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 5.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How CMG stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (48 S&P 500 companies), CMG ranks #20 of 48 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (29.4x P/E vs. 23.7x median) with a higher return on equity (48.4% vs. 39.2%) and slower revenue growth (5.7% vs. 6.2%).
P/E vs sector
29.4x
median 23.7x
ROE vs sector
48.4%
median 39.2%
Growth vs sector
5.7%
median 6.2%
Sector rank
#20
of 48 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 48 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$27.50 – $46.90
vs. $30.54 today · expected CAGR -2% – 9%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.64B | $13.40B | $14.20B | $15.06B | $15.96B |
| Net income | $1.64B | $1.74B | $1.85B | $1.96B | $2.07B |
| EPS | $1.28 | $1.36 | $1.44 | $1.53 | $1.62 |
| Share price (low) | $21.78 | $23.09 | $24.47 | $25.94 | $27.50 |
| Share price (high) | $37.15 | $39.38 | $41.74 | $44.25 | $46.90 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -29% / 22% | -13% / 14% | -7% / 11% | -4% / 10% | -2% / 9% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for CMG:
- Strong return on equity (48.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.0x) lowers risk.
The case against CMG:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Chipotle Mexican Grill is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 29.4x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (55/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.