GPRE
Green Plains Inc
$16.14
▼ 0.2%Updated Today 11:10 AM ET
GPRE at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Unrated · 0/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Market Cap
$0.00
P/E
—
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
—
Revenue Growth
—
EPS Growth
—
Profit Margin
—
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
—
ROIC
-4.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.99x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
0/100
Green Plains Inc (GPRE) is a small-cap company in the Energy industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500.
In its latest reported year it generated about $2.09B in revenue and posted a net loss of $121.28M.
Our model rates GPRE Unrated (0/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
5.6% average over the last 3 years
±1.3 pts around 5.5% across 6 years
grew in 2 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 2 of 10 years
-4.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
4Y CAGR
-7.3%
Revenue moved from $3.41B in 2016 to $2.09B in 2025, a -5.3% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly steady year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
6.5%
Operating Margin
-3.2%
Net Margin
-5.8%
ROE
—
Total Debt
$374.49M
Net Debt
$189.11M
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
—
Leverage: debt-to-equity is n/a, with a current ratio of 2.0x. Detailed balance-sheet leverage is limited for this name. It carries roughly $374.49M of total debt against $185.38M of cash.
Operating CF
$110.86M
Free Cash Flow
$73.67M
FCF Margin
3.5%
In the latest year Green Plains Inc produced about $110.86M of operating cash flow and $73.67M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Per share (latest FY)
$0.48
Total paid (latest FY)
$721.00K
History on record
9 years
dividend uses 1% of free cash flow
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 9 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
—
P/S
—
P/B
—
EV / EBITDA
—
GPRE trades at n/a trailing earnings. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$18.04
Current price
$16.14
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$73.67M
Growth, years 1–5
4.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where GPRE sits versus its Energy sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 47 Energy companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How GPRE stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Energy sector (57 S&P 500 companies), GPRE ranks #51 of 57 by our overall rating.
P/E vs sector
—
median 20.9x
ROE vs sector
—
median 13.3%
Growth vs sector
—
median 0.7%
Sector rank
#51
of 57 by rating
Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 57 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $16.14 today · expected CAGR -0% – 10%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.26B | $2.44B | $2.63B | $2.85B | $3.07B |
| Net income | $67.77M | $73.19M | $79.05M | $85.37M | $92.20M |
| EPS | $0.97 | $1.04 | $1.13 | $1.22 | $1.32 |
| Share price (low) | $11.60 | $12.53 | $13.53 | $14.62 | $15.78 |
| Share price (high) | $19.34 | $20.88 | $22.55 | $24.36 | $26.31 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -28% / 20% | -12% / 14% | -6% / 12% | -2% / 11% | -0% / 10% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for GPRE:
- As an established S&P 500 member in Energy, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against GPRE:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Green Plains Inc is a small-cap energy business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Unrated (0/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 13 Wall Street analysts covering GPRE recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-3 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
GPRE's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
GPRE — frequently asked questions
Is GPRE a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Review Green Plains Inc's fundamentals, valuation, and 5-year financials on this page, then make your own decision — and consider a licensed professional.
Where does GPRE's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Green Plains Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for GPRE calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this GPRE analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell GPRE. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.