Skip to content

HSIC

S&P 500
Weak · 41/100

Henry Schein

Health Care
Health Care Distributors

$88.80

0.6%

Updated Today 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

HSIC at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Weak · 41/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 12.4% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$9.85B

P/E

25.57x

Forward P/E (est.)

24.84x

ROE

11.9%

Revenue Growth

5.6%

EPS Growth

2.9%

Profit Margin

3.0%

FCF Yield

6.3%

Debt / Equity

0.96x

ROIC

12.0%

Interest Coverage

4.35x

Current Ratio

1.36x

Dividend Yield

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

3.0%

Rating Score

41/100

Business Overview
Research

Henry Schein (HSIC) is a mid-cap company in the Health Care Distributors industry, part of the Health Care sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $9.85B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $13.18B in revenue and $398.00M in net profit.

Our model rates HSIC Weak (41/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).

Narrow moat signalsMoat evidence score: 66/100

Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.

Gross margin level28/100

31.4% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability86/100

±1.1 pts around 30.5% across 9 years

Revenue durability86/100

grew in 7 of the last 8 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 9 of 9 years

Return on invested capital35/100

12.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what HSIC's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. HSIC trades near $88.80, above its 50-day average ($76.87) and 200-day average ($74.33). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 71 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. HSIC's is $1.86 (~2.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month HSIC found buyers near $76.13 (support) and sellers near $86.51 (resistance); its 52-week range is $61.95–$89.29. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.5× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

1.5%

2/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $8.88B in 2017 to $13.18B in 2025, a 5.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 5.6% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
2/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

31.1%

Operating Margin

5.0%

Net Margin

3.0%

ROE

11.9%

Henry Schein keeps about 3.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 31.1% gross margin and 5.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 11.9% and return on invested capital about 12.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.

Debt Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$1.05B

Net Debt

$957.88M

Net Debt / EBITDA

1.47x

Debt / Equity

0.96x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.0x, and operating profit covers interest about 4.3x, with a current ratio of 1.4x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $1.05B of total debt against $88.11M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$712.00M

Free Cash Flow

$573.00M

FCF Margin

4.3%

In the latest year Henry Schein produced about $712.00M of operating cash flow and $573.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 6.3% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Valuation Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

25.57x

P/S

0.7x

P/B

3.02x

EV / EBITDA

HSIC trades at 25.6x trailing earnings (about 24.8x on estimated forward earnings), 0.7x sales, and 3.0x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$94.74

Current price

$88.80

+7% · Near fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$573.00M

Growth, years 1–5

5.6%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$4.76B
PV of terminal value$6.04B
Estimated equity value$10.79B
Shares outstanding114M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where HSIC sits versus its Health Care sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
25.6xFair
Forward P/E
24.8xFair
P/S ratio
0.7xCheap
Revenue growth
5.6%Average
EPS growth
2.9%Average
Gross margin
31.1%Weak
Net margin
3.0%Weak
ROE
11.9%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 83 Health Care companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How HSIC stacks up against its Health Care peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Health Care sector (324 S&P 500 companies), HSIC ranks #62 of 324 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (25.6x P/E vs. 27.3x median) with a lower return on equity (11.9% vs. 14.1%) and slower revenue growth (5.6% vs. 7.6%).

P/E vs sector

25.6x

median 27.3x

ROE vs sector

11.9%

median 14.1%

Growth vs sector

5.6%

median 7.6%

Sector rank

#62

of 324 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
HSICThis stock25.6x5.6%Weak· 41
CAH36x12.9%Weak· 39
COR24.3x6.0%Neutral· 52
MCK21.4x12.4%Favorable· 59
UHS6.7x10.4%Favorable· 65
EHC17.3x10.1%Favorable· 65
GMED18.5x23.5%Strong· 77
TECH104.1x0.2%Weak· 29
Health Care median27.3x7.6%0/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianCAHCORMCKUHSEHCGMEDTECHHSICP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Health Care companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 324 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $88.80 today · expected CAGR -3%7%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$13.98B$14.81B$15.70B$16.64B$17.64B
Net income$419.25M$444.41M$471.07M$499.33M$529.29M
EPS$3.78$4.01$4.25$4.50$4.77
Share price (low)$60.50$64.13$67.98$72.06$76.38
Share price (high)$98.31$104.21$110.46$117.09$124.12
CAGR (low–high)-32% / 11%-15% / 8%-9% / 8%-5% / 7%-3% / 7%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for HSIC:

  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~6.3%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • As an established S&P 500 member in Health Care, it brings scale and a long operating history.
Bear Case

The case against HSIC:

  • Thin net margins (3.0%) leave little room for error.
  • Our model's overall read is Weak (41/100).
Key Risks
Research

Margin risk — thin profitability (3.0%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Henry Schein is a mid-cap health care business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 25.6x earnings, which our model scores Weak (41/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 25 Wall Street analysts covering HSIC recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 3.8 / 5 across 25 analysts
Strong Buy 7Buy 7Hold 10Sell 1Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

HSIC's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

HSIC — frequently asked questions

Is HSIC a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Henry Schein Weak (41/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is HSIC's rating on The Stocks School?

Henry Schein currently scores 41/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does HSIC's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Henry Schein's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for HSIC calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this HSIC analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell HSIC. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.