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MOD

NYSE
Weak · 38/100

Modine Manufacturing Co

Industrials
Building

$236.01

2.2%

Updated Today 12:11 PM ET

Report Card

MOD at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Weak · 38/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 124.8% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$12.20B

P/E

100.4x

Forward P/E (est.)

143.43x

ROE

11.1%

Revenue Growth

23.1%

EPS Growth

-34.5%

Profit Margin

3.8%

FCF Yield

2.1%

Debt / Equity

0.37x

ROIC

20.0%

Interest Coverage

12.97x

Current Ratio

1.94x

Dividend Yield

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

8.1%

Rating Score

38/100

Business Overview
Research

Modine Manufacturing Co (MOD) is a large-cap company in the Building industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $12.20B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $3.18B in revenue and $121.50M in net profit.

Our model rates MOD Weak (38/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what MOD's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. MOD trades near $236.01, around its 50-day average ($269.68) and 200-day average ($197.65). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 35 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. MOD's is $18.37 (~7.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month MOD found buyers near $225.19 (support) and sellers near $302.99 (resistance); its 52-week range is $86.48–$323.25. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

11.6%

2/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $1.50B in 2017 to $3.18B in 2026, a 8.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 23.1% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.

Profitability
Research
2/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

23.0%

Operating Margin

10.8%

Net Margin

3.8%

ROE

11.1%

Modine Manufacturing Co keeps about 3.8% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 23.0% gross margin and 10.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 11.1% and return on invested capital about 20.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.

Debt Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$125.40M

Net Debt

$51.90M

Net Debt / EBITDA

0.15x

Debt / Equity

0.37x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, and operating profit covers interest about 13.0x, with a current ratio of 1.9x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $125.40M of total debt against $73.50M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
2/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$248.70M

Free Cash Flow

$105.40M

FCF Margin

3.3%

In the latest year Modine Manufacturing Co produced about $248.70M of operating cash flow and $105.40M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.1% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research
1/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

100.4x

P/S

3.83x

P/B

9.57x

EV / EBITDA

29.02x

MOD trades at 100.4x trailing earnings (about 143.4x on estimated forward earnings), 3.8x sales, and 9.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 8.1% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$82.64

Current price

$236.01

-65% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$105.40M

Growth, years 1–5

20.0%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$1.63B
PV of terminal value$2.74B
Estimated equity value$4.36B
Shares outstanding53M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where MOD sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
100.4xExpensive
Forward P/E
143.4xExpensive
P/S ratio
3.8xFair
Revenue growth
23.1%Strong
EPS growth
-34.5%Weak
Gross margin
23.0%Weak
Net margin
3.8%Weak
ROE
11.1%Weak

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 87 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How MOD stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Industrials sector (165 S&P 500 companies), MOD ranks #71 of 165 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (100.4x P/E vs. 32x median) with a lower return on equity (11.1% vs. 19.7%) and faster revenue growth (23.1% vs. 5.2%).

P/E vs sector

100.4x

median 32x

ROE vs sector

11.1%

median 19.7%

Growth vs sector

23.1%

median 5.2%

Sector rank

#71

of 165 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
MODThis stock100.4x23.1%Weak· 38
CSL20.5x-0.5%Neutral· 47
MAIRNot rated
AAONNot rated
AIT30.2x7.5%Neutral· 50
EMBJ36.2x15.2%Weak· 39
ALLE19.2x8.9%Favorable· 62
KNX1.1%Weak· 29
Industrials median32x5.2%21/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianCSLAITEMBJALLEMODP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 165 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $236.01 today · expected CAGR 12%24%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$3.91B$4.81B$5.92B$7.28B$8.96B
Net income$156.51M$192.51M$236.78M$291.24M$358.23M
EPS$2.96$3.64$4.48$5.51$6.78
Share price (low)$177.80$218.69$268.99$330.86$406.96
Share price (high)$296.33$364.49$448.32$551.43$678.26
CAGR (low–high)-25% / 26%-4% / 24%4% / 24%9% / 24%12% / 24%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for MOD:

  • Revenue is growing 23.1% a year, a sign of real demand.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
Bear Case

The case against MOD:

  • Thin net margins (3.8%) leave little room for error.
  • A rich 100.4x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
  • Our model's overall read is Weak (38/100).
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 100.4x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Margin risk — thin profitability (3.8%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Modine Manufacturing Co is a large-cap industrials business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 100.4x earnings, which our model scores Weak (38/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

MOD — frequently asked questions

Is MOD a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Modine Manufacturing Co Weak (38/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is MOD's rating on The Stocks School?

Modine Manufacturing Co currently scores 38/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does MOD's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Modine Manufacturing Co's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for MOD calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this MOD analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MOD. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.