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MRK

S&P 500
Weak · 40/100

Merck & Co.

Health Care
Pharmaceuticals

$119.60

3.6%

Updated Today 5:06 AM ET

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 43.6% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$295.39B

P/E

32.95x

Forward P/E (est.)

47.07x

ROE

17.9%

Revenue Growth

2.9%

EPS Growth

-48.3%

Profit Margin

13.6%

FCF Yield

2.9%

Debt / Equity

0.94x

ROIC

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

1.3x

Dividend Yield

3.0%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

4.6%

Rating Score

40/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what MRK's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. MRK trades near $119.60, above its 50-day average ($115.51) and 200-day average ($105.72). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 58 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. MRK's is $3.35 (~2.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month MRK found buyers near $111.57 (support) and sellers near $123.46 (resistance); its 52-week range is $76.66–$125.14. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

Merck & Co. (MRK) is a mega-cap company in the Pharmaceuticals industry, part of the Health Care sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $295.39B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $65.01B in revenue and $18.25B in net profit.

Our model rates MRK Weak (40/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

7.5%

Revenue moved from $48.70B in 2021 to $65.01B in 2025, a 7.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (2.9%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

78.1%

Operating Margin

18.2%

Net Margin

28.1%

ROE

17.9%

Merck & Co. keeps about 13.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 78.1% gross margin and 18.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 17.9%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$18.10B

Net Debt

$12.77B

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

0.94x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.9x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $18.10B of total debt against $5.33B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$16.47B

Free Cash Flow

$12.36B

FCF Margin

19.0%

In the latest year Merck & Co. produced about $16.47B of operating cash flow and $12.36B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.9% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

32.95x

P/S

4.36x

P/B

5.16x

EV / EBITDA

MRK trades at 33.0x trailing earnings (about 47.1x on estimated forward earnings), 4.4x sales, and 5.2x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.6% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
33.0xExpensive
Forward P/E
47.1xExpensive
P/S ratio
4.4xExpensive
Revenue growth
2.9%Weak
EPS growth
-48.3%Weak
Gross margin
78.1%Strong
Net margin
13.6%Strong
ROE
17.9%Average

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How MRK stacks up against its Health Care peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Health Care sector (59 S&P 500 companies), MRK ranks #48 of 59 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (33x P/E vs. 25.5x median) with a higher return on equity (17.9% vs. 14.9%) and slower revenue growth (2.9% vs. 7.9%).

P/E vs sector

33x

median 25.5x

ROE vs sector

17.9%

median 14.9%

Growth vs sector

2.9%

median 7.9%

Sector rank

#48

of 59 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
MRKThis stock33x2.9%Weak· 40
JNJ27.4x7.9%Neutral· 56
PFE18.8x1.4%Neutral· 48
BMY19x1.8%Favorable· 60
LLY41.5x47.4%Favorable· 69
ZTS12.3x2.4%Favorable· 63
VTRS1.6%Weak· 29
UNH30.9x9.7%Weak· 41
Health Care median25.5x7.9%52/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianJNJPFEBMYLLYZTSUNHMRKP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Health Care companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 59 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$170.88$281.95

vs. $119.60 today · expected CAGR 7%19%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$66.96B$68.97B$71.04B$73.17B$75.37B
Net income$18.75B$19.31B$19.89B$20.49B$21.10B
EPS$7.59$7.82$8.05$8.30$8.54
Share price (low)$151.83$156.38$161.07$165.90$170.88
Share price (high)$250.51$258.03$265.77$273.74$281.95
CAGR (low–high)27% / 109%14% / 47%10% / 30%9% / 23%7% / 19%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for MRK:

  • Strong return on equity (17.9%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Pays a 3.0% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case

The case against MRK:

  • Revenue growth is slow (2.9%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Our model's overall read is Weak (40/100).
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 33.0x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (2.9%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Merck & Co. is a mega-cap health care business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 33.0x earnings, which our model scores Weak (40/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

MRK — frequently asked questions

Is MRK a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Merck & Co. Weak (40/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is MRK's rating on The Stocks School?

Merck & Co. currently scores 40/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does MRK's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Merck & Co.'s SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for MRK calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this MRK analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MRK. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.