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OVV

NYSE
Neutral · 57/100

Ovintiv Inc

Energy
Energy

$53.12

0.3%

Updated Today 12:11 PM ET

Report Card

OVV at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 57/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 33.0% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$14.88B

P/E

19.3x

Forward P/E (est.)

14.65x

ROE

7.1%

Revenue Growth

-1.2%

EPS Growth

31.8%

Profit Margin

8.5%

FCF Yield

30.2%

Debt / Equity

0.46x

ROIC

5.0%

Interest Coverage

3.01x

Current Ratio

0.56x

Dividend Yield

2.3%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

-1.0%

Rating Score

57/100

Business Overview
Research

Ovintiv Inc (OVV) is a large-cap company in the Energy industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $14.88B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $8.66B in revenue and $1.24B in net profit.

Our model rates OVV Neutral (57/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what OVV's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. OVV trades near $53.12, around its 50-day average ($57.07) and 200-day average ($47.70). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 34 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. OVV's is $1.57 (~3.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month OVV found buyers near $51.86 (support) and sellers near $59.04 (resistance); its 52-week range is $35.47–$63.46. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.2× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

-4.6%

2/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $3.89B in 2017 to $8.66B in 2025, a 10.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 1.2% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?

Profitability
Research
1/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

71.8%

Operating Margin

13.1%

Net Margin

14.3%

ROE

7.1%

Ovintiv Inc keeps about 8.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 71.8% gross margin and 13.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 7.1% and return on invested capital about 5.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$6.40B

Net Debt

$6.37B

Net Debt / EBITDA

5.63x

Debt / Equity

0.46x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.5x, and operating profit covers interest about 3.0x, with a current ratio of 0.6x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $6.40B of total debt against $26.00M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$3.65B

Free Cash Flow

$1.50B

FCF Margin

17.4%

In the latest year Ovintiv Inc produced about $3.65B of operating cash flow and $1.50B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 30.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Valuation Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

19.3x

P/S

1.67x

P/B

0.89x

EV / EBITDA

6.42x

OVV trades at 19.3x trailing earnings (about 14.6x on estimated forward earnings), 1.7x sales, and 0.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -1.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$68.22

Current price

$53.12

+28% · Below fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$1.50B

Growth, years 1–5

-1.2%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$9.27B
PV of terminal value$9.90B
Estimated equity value$19.17B
Shares outstanding281M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
19.3xFair
Forward P/E
14.6xCheap
P/S ratio
1.7xCheap
Revenue growth
-1.2%Weak
EPS growth
31.8%Strong
Gross margin
71.8%Strong
Net margin
8.5%Average
ROE
7.1%Weak

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $53.12 today · expected CAGR 1%12%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$8.92B$9.19B$9.47B$9.75B$10.04B
Net income$1.25B$1.29B$1.33B$1.37B$1.41B
EPS$4.45$4.58$4.72$4.86$5.00
Share price (low)$48.90$50.36$51.88$53.43$55.04
Share price (high)$84.46$86.99$89.60$92.29$95.06
CAGR (low–high)-8% / 59%-3% / 28%-1% / 19%0% / 15%1% / 12%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for OVV:

  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~30.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.5x) lowers risk.
  • Pays a 2.3% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case

The case against OVV:

  • Revenue growth is slow/negative (-1.2%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-1.2%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Ovintiv Inc is a large-cap energy business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 19.3x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (57/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

OVV — frequently asked questions

Is OVV a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Ovintiv Inc Neutral (57/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is OVV's rating on The Stocks School?

Ovintiv Inc currently scores 57/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does OVV's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Ovintiv Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for OVV calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this OVV analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell OVV. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.