PFGC
Performance Food Group Co
$112.22
▼ 0.8%Updated Today 12:11 PM ET
PFGC at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 26/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 26.3% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$17.77B
P/E
54.08x
Forward P/E (est.)
62.13x
ROE
7.1%
Revenue Growth
8.4%
EPS Growth
-13.0%
Profit Margin
0.5%
FCF Yield
5.3%
Debt / Equity
1.56x
ROIC
7.0%
Interest Coverage
2.28x
Current Ratio
1.52x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
4.8%
Rating Score
26/100
Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) is a large-cap company in the Retail industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $17.77B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $63.30B in revenue and $340.20M in net profit.
Our model rates PFGC Weak (26/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what PFGC's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. PFGC trades near $112.22, above its 50-day average ($98.22) and 200-day average ($95.23). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 76 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. PFGC's is $2.63 (~2.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month PFGC found buyers near $94.25 (support) and sellers near $113.17 (resistance); its 52-week range is $80.82–$113.17. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.2× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
20.1%
Revenue moved from $16.76B in 2017 to $63.30B in 2025, a 18.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 8.4% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
11.7%
Operating Margin
1.3%
Net Margin
0.5%
ROE
7.1%
Performance Food Group Co keeps about 0.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 11.7% gross margin and 1.3% operating margin. Return on equity is 7.1% and return on invested capital about 7.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$5.12B
Net Debt
$5.12B
Net Debt / EBITDA
6.27x
Debt / Equity
1.56x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.6x, and operating profit covers interest about 2.3x, with a current ratio of 1.5x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it.
Operating CF
$1.21B
Free Cash Flow
$704.10M
FCF Margin
1.1%
In the latest year Performance Food Group Co produced about $1.21B of operating cash flow and $704.10M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.3% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
54.08x
P/S
0.28x
P/B
3.05x
EV / EBITDA
14.92x
PFGC trades at 54.1x trailing earnings (about 62.1x on estimated forward earnings), 0.3x sales, and 3.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.8% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$98.82
Current price
$112.22
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$704.10M
Growth, years 1–5
8.4%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $112.22 today · expected CAGR 38% – 54%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $68.36B | $73.83B | $79.74B | $86.12B | $93.01B |
| Net income | $2.05B | $2.21B | $2.39B | $2.58B | $2.79B |
| EPS | $13.06 | $14.10 | $15.23 | $16.45 | $17.76 |
| Share price (low) | $417.78 | $451.20 | $487.29 | $526.28 | $568.38 |
| Share price (high) | $705.00 | $761.40 | $822.31 | $888.09 | $959.14 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 272% / 528% | 101% / 160% | 63% / 94% | 47% / 68% | 38% / 54% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for PFGC:
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.3%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Consumer Discretionary, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against PFGC:
- Thin net margins (0.5%) leave little room for error.
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 1.6x) adds financial risk.
- Interest coverage is thin (2.3x), so debt costs bite.
- A rich 54.1x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (26/100).
Valuation risk — at 54.1x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.6x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Margin risk — thin profitability (0.5%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Performance Food Group Co is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 54.1x earnings, which our model scores Weak (26/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
PFGC — frequently asked questions
Is PFGC a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Performance Food Group Co Weak (26/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is PFGC's rating on The Stocks School?
Performance Food Group Co currently scores 26/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does PFGC's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Performance Food Group Co's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for PFGC calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this PFGC analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell PFGC. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.