TM
Toyota Motor Corp
$179.59
▲ 2.9%Updated Today 12:11 PM ET
TM at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 37/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 2.8% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$201.61B
P/E
7.82x
Forward P/E (est.)
9.54x
ROE
10.1%
Revenue Growth
5.5%
EPS Growth
-18.0%
Profit Margin
7.6%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
1.08x
ROIC
0.0%
Interest Coverage
57.56x
Current Ratio
1.07x
Dividend Yield
3.4%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
37/100
Toyota Motor Corp (TM) is a mega-cap company in the Automobiles industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $201.61B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $29.93T in revenue.
Our model rates TM Weak (37/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TM's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TM trades near $179.59, below its 50-day average ($182.42) and 200-day average ($205.09). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 56 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TM's is $3.70 (~2.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month TM found buyers near $166.10 (support) and sellers near $181.15 (resistance); its 52-week range is $166.10–$248.90. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.4× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
3Y CAGR
2.7%
Revenue moved from $27.60T in 2017 to $29.93T in 2020, a 2.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 5.5% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
16.7%
Operating Margin
7.4%
Net Margin
7.6%
ROE
10.1%
Toyota Motor Corp keeps about 7.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 16.7% gross margin and 7.4% operating margin. Return on equity is 10.1% and return on invested capital about 0.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$10.69T
Net Debt
$10.67T
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
1.08x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.1x, and operating profit covers interest about 57.6x, with a current ratio of 1.1x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $10.69T of total debt against $18.27B of cash.
Operating CF
—
Free Cash Flow
—
FCF Margin
—
P/E
7.82x
P/S
0.59x
P/B
1.24x
EV / EBITDA
—
TM trades at 7.8x trailing earnings (about 9.5x on estimated forward earnings), 0.6x sales, and 1.2x book value. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $179.59 today · expected CAGR 47% – 61%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $31.73T | $33.63T | $35.65T | $37.79T | $40.05T |
| Net income | $2.54T | $2.69T | $2.85T | $3.02T | $3.20T |
| EPS | $194.73 | $206.41 | $218.80 | $231.92 | $245.84 |
| Share price (low) | $973.64 | $1,032.06 | $1,093.98 | $1,159.62 | $1,229.19 |
| Share price (high) | $1,557.82 | $1,651.29 | $1,750.37 | $1,855.39 | $1,966.71 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 442% / 767% | 140% / 203% | 83% / 114% | 59% / 79% | 47% / 61% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for TM:
- Pays a 3.4% dividend on top of any price gains.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Consumer Discretionary, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against TM:
- Our model's overall read is Weak (37/100).
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.1x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Toyota Motor Corp is a mega-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 7.8x earnings, which our model scores Weak (37/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
TM — frequently asked questions
Is TM a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Toyota Motor Corp Weak (37/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is TM's rating on The Stocks School?
Toyota Motor Corp currently scores 37/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does TM's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Toyota Motor Corp's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for TM calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this TM analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell TM. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.