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TXT

S&P 500
Favorable · 59/100

Textron

Industrials
Aerospace & Defense

$88.69

0.9%

Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

TXT at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Favorable · 59/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 16.8% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$16.08B

P/E

16.56x

Forward P/E (est.)

13.97x

ROE

12.1%

Revenue Growth

9.5%

EPS Growth

18.5%

Profit Margin

6.2%

FCF Yield

7.0%

Debt / Equity

0.49x

ROIC

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

Dividend Yield

0.1%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

3.0%

Rating Score

59/100

Business Overview
Research

Textron (TXT) is a large-cap company in the Aerospace & Defense industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $16.08B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $14.80B in revenue and $921.00M in net profit.

Our model rates TXT Favorable (59/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TXT's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TXT trades near $88.69, below its 50-day average ($90.99) and 200-day average ($88.93). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 46 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TXT's is $2.69 (~3.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month TXT found buyers near $85.94 (support) and sellers near $95.03 (resistance); its 52-week range is $75.80–$101.57. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.8× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

6.2%

4/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $13.88B in 2015 to $14.80B in 2026, a 0.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 9.5% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
2/3 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%

Gross Margin

18.0%

Operating Margin

6.7%

Net Margin

6.2%

ROE

12.1%

Textron keeps about 6.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 18.0% gross margin and 6.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 12.1%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
2/2 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equity

Total Debt

Net Debt

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

0.49x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.5x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$1.31B

Free Cash Flow

$929.00M

FCF Margin

6.3%

In the latest year Textron produced about $1.31B of operating cash flow and $929.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 7.0% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

BorderlineSafety score: 59/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Dividend yield

0.1%

Per share (latest FY)

$0.08

Total paid (latest FY)

$18.00M

History on record

10 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 2% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

2% of net income paid out

Raise streak13/100

total dividends increased 1 year in a row

Cut history0/100

payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

16.56x

P/S

1.1x

P/B

1.88x

EV / EBITDA

TXT trades at 16.6x trailing earnings (about 14.0x on estimated forward earnings), 1.1x sales, and 1.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$124.74

Current price

$88.69

+41% · Below fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$929.00M

Growth, years 1–5

9.5%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$9.11B
PV of terminal value$12.58B
Estimated equity value$21.69B
Shares outstanding174M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where TXT sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
16.6xCheap
Forward P/E
14.0xCheap
P/S ratio
1.1xCheap
Revenue growth
9.5%Average
EPS growth
18.5%Average
Gross margin
18.0%Weak
Net margin
6.2%Average
ROE
12.1%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How TXT stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), TXT ranks #37 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (16.6x P/E vs. 32x median) with a lower return on equity (12.1% vs. 18.1%) and faster revenue growth (9.5% vs. 6.0%).

P/E vs sector

16.6x

median 32x

ROE vs sector

12.1%

median 18.1%

Growth vs sector

9.5%

median 6.0%

Sector rank

#37

of 273 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
TXTThis stock16.6x9.5%Favorable· 59
BWXT43.9x21.4%Neutral· 52
EMBJ36.2x15.2%Weak· 39
HII21.1x12.1%Favorable· 58
ATI70.6x2.9%Weak· 36
SARO32.1x15.0%Neutral· 54
CW48.7x12.2%Neutral· 53
CRS61.9x3.7%Neutral· 49
Industrials median32x6.0%22/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianBWXTEMBJHIIATISAROCWCRSTXTP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $88.69 today · expected CAGR -3%8%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$16.13B$17.58B$19.17B$20.89B$22.77B
Net income$967.85M$1.05B$1.15B$1.25B$1.37B
EPS$5.34$5.82$6.34$6.91$7.53
Share price (low)$53.37$58.17$63.41$69.11$75.33
Share price (high)$90.72$98.89$107.79$117.49$128.06
CAGR (low–high)-40% / 2%-19% / 6%-11% / 7%-6% / 7%-3% / 8%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for TXT:

  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~7.0%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.5x) lowers risk.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (59/100).
Bear Case

The case against TXT:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Textron is a large-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 16.6x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (59/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 23 Wall Street analysts covering TXT recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 3.6 / 5 across 23 analysts
Strong Buy 4Buy 7Hold 12Sell 0Strong Sell 0

Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+4 pts of buy ratings).

Latest SEC Filings

TXT's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

TXT — frequently asked questions

Is TXT a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Textron Favorable (59/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is TXT's rating on The Stocks School?

Textron currently scores 59/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does TXT's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Textron's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for TXT calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this TXT analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell TXT. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.