VLO
Valero Energy
$243.78
▲ 3.2%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▲ Up 69.5% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$72.49B
P/E
16.89x
Forward P/E (est.)
12.06x
ROE
17.6%
Revenue Growth
-2.8%
EPS Growth
383.8%
Profit Margin
3.4%
FCF Yield
15.5%
Debt / Equity
0.45x
ROIC
8.0%
Interest Coverage
5.72x
Current Ratio
1.58x
Dividend Yield
2.0%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
57/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what VLO's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. VLO trades near $243.78, around its 50-day average ($245.44) and 200-day average ($200.91). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 43 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. VLO's is $9.98 (~4.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month VLO found buyers near $232.72 (support) and sellers near $265.61 (resistance); its 52-week range is $130.78–$265.61. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 2.0× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Valero Energy (VLO) is a large-cap company in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $72.49B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $122.69B in revenue and $2.35B in net profit.
Our model rates VLO Neutral (57/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
1.9%
Revenue moved from $113.98B in 2021 to $122.69B in 2025, a 1.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 2.8% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
5.6%
Operating Margin
2.6%
Net Margin
1.9%
ROE
17.6%
Valero Energy keeps about 3.4% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 5.6% gross margin and 2.6% operating margin. Return on equity is 17.6% and return on invested capital about 8.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$8.26B
Net Debt
$2.53B
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.79x
Debt / Equity
0.45x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, and operating profit covers interest about 5.7x, with a current ratio of 1.6x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $8.26B of total debt against $5.73B of cash.
Operating CF
$5.83B
Free Cash Flow
$5.83B
FCF Margin
4.7%
In the latest year Valero Energy produced about $5.83B of operating cash flow and $5.83B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 15.5% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
16.89x
P/S
0.6x
P/B
2.03x
EV / EBITDA
14.98x
VLO trades at 16.9x trailing earnings (about 12.1x on estimated forward earnings), 0.6x sales, and 2.0x book value. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How VLO stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Energy sector (21 S&P 500 companies), VLO ranks #9 of 21 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (16.9x P/E vs. 18.9x median) with a higher return on equity (17.6% vs. 14.8%) and slower revenue growth (-2.8% vs. -0.4%).
P/E vs sector
16.9x
median 18.9x
ROE vs sector
17.6%
median 14.8%
Growth vs sector
-2.8%
median -0.4%
Sector rank
#9
of 21 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 21 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$143.70 – $244.28
vs. $243.78 today · expected CAGR -10% – 0%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $126.37B | $130.16B | $134.06B | $138.09B | $142.23B |
| Net income | $3.79B | $3.90B | $4.02B | $4.14B | $4.27B |
| EPS | $12.77 | $13.15 | $13.54 | $13.95 | $14.37 |
| Share price (low) | $127.67 | $131.50 | $135.45 | $139.51 | $143.70 |
| Share price (high) | $217.04 | $223.56 | $230.26 | $237.17 | $244.28 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -48% / -11% | -27% / -4% | -18% / -2% | -13% / -1% | -10% / 0% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for VLO:
- Strong return on equity (17.6%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~15.5%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
- Pays a 2.0% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against VLO:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-2.8%), limiting the upside engine.
- Thin net margins (3.4%) leave little room for error.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-2.8%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Margin risk — thin profitability (3.4%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Valero Energy is a large-cap energy business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 16.9x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (57/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.