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VMI

NYSE
Neutral · 46/100

Valmont Industries Inc

Industrials
Construction

$563.80

1.5%

Updated Today 12:11 PM ET

Report Card

VMI at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 46/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 64.3% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$10.80B

P/E

28.82x

Forward P/E (est.)

26.35x

ROE

23.1%

Revenue Growth

2.4%

EPS Growth

9.4%

Profit Margin

8.9%

FCF Yield

2.1%

Debt / Equity

0.49x

ROIC

13.0%

Interest Coverage

7.32x

Current Ratio

2.38x

Dividend Yield

0.6%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

5.9%

Rating Score

46/100

Business Overview
Research

Valmont Industries Inc (VMI) is a large-cap company in the Construction industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $10.80B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $4.10B in revenue and $350.27M in net profit.

Our model rates VMI Neutral (46/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what VMI's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. VMI trades near $563.80, above its 50-day average ($530.50) and 200-day average ($446.51). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 55 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. VMI's is $19.93 (~3.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month VMI found buyers near $511.23 (support) and sellers near $585.71 (resistance); its 52-week range is $326.22–$585.71. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.2× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

4.0%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $2.52B in 2016 to $4.10B in 2025, a 5.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (2.4%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
3/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

30.2%

Operating Margin

10.1%

Net Margin

8.5%

ROE

23.1%

Valmont Industries Inc keeps about 8.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 30.2% gross margin and 10.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 23.1% and return on invested capital about 13.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$795.66M

Net Debt

$635.47M

Net Debt / EBITDA

1.53x

Debt / Equity

0.49x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.5x, and operating profit covers interest about 7.3x, with a current ratio of 2.4x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $795.66M of total debt against $160.19M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$456.48M

Free Cash Flow

$311.45M

FCF Margin

7.6%

In the latest year Valmont Industries Inc produced about $456.48M of operating cash flow and $311.45M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.1% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research
2/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

28.82x

P/S

2.61x

P/B

4.94x

EV / EBITDA

22.69x

VMI trades at 28.8x trailing earnings (about 26.4x on estimated forward earnings), 2.6x sales, and 4.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 5.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$251.55

Current price

$563.80

-55% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$311.45M

Growth, years 1–5

2.4%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$2.25B
PV of terminal value$2.64B
Estimated equity value$4.88B
Shares outstanding19M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
28.8xExpensive
Forward P/E
26.4xExpensive
P/S ratio
2.6xExpensive
Revenue growth
2.4%Weak
EPS growth
9.4%Average
Gross margin
30.2%Weak
Net margin
8.9%Average
ROE
23.1%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $563.80 today · expected CAGR -8%3%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$4.23B$4.35B$4.48B$4.62B$4.76B
Net income$380.45M$391.86M$403.62M$415.73M$428.20M
EPS$19.60$20.18$20.79$21.41$22.06
Share price (low)$333.15$343.14$353.44$364.04$374.96
Share price (high)$568.31$585.36$602.92$621.01$639.64
CAGR (low–high)-41% / 1%-22% / 2%-14% / 2%-10% / 2%-8% / 3%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for VMI:

  • Strong return on equity (23.1%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.5x) lowers risk.
Bear Case

The case against VMI:

  • Revenue growth is slow (2.4%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (2.4%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Valmont Industries Inc is a large-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 28.8x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (46/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

VMI — frequently asked questions

Is VMI a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Valmont Industries Inc Neutral (46/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is VMI's rating on The Stocks School?

Valmont Industries Inc currently scores 46/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does VMI's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Valmont Industries Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for VMI calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this VMI analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell VMI. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.