AER
AerCap Holdings NV
$152.63
▲ 3.2%Updated Today 12:11 PM ET
AER at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Favorable · 67/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 32.2% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$23.31B
P/E
5.94x
Forward P/E (est.)
4.24x
ROE
21.6%
Revenue Growth
4.9%
EPS Growth
102.5%
Profit Margin
50.7%
FCF Yield
13.5%
Debt / Equity
2.38x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
0.9%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
67/100
AerCap Holdings NV (AER) is a large-cap company in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $23.31B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $8.52B in revenue and $3.75B in net profit.
Our model rates AER Favorable (67/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what AER's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. AER trades near $152.63, above its 50-day average ($141.83) and 200-day average ($138.32). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 72 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. AER's is $4.34 (~2.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month AER found buyers near $133.32 (support) and sellers near $153.18 (resistance); its 52-week range is $105.65–$154.94. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.2× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
13.0%
Revenue moved from $5.15B in 2016 to $8.52B in 2025, a 5.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.9%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
91.3%
Operating Margin
68.0%
Net Margin
44.0%
ROE
21.6%
AerCap Holdings NV keeps about 50.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 91.3% gross margin and 68.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 21.6%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$43.57B
Net Debt
$42.19B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
2.38x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 2.4x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $43.57B of total debt against $1.38B of cash.
Operating CF
$5.39B
Free Cash Flow
$5.39B
FCF Margin
63.3%
In the latest year AerCap Holdings NV produced about $5.39B of operating cash flow and $5.39B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 13.5% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
5.94x
P/S
3.03x
P/B
1.39x
EV / EBITDA
—
AER trades at 5.9x trailing earnings (about 4.2x on estimated forward earnings), 3.0x sales, and 1.4x book value. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
Where AER sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 87 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How AER stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (165 S&P 500 companies), AER ranks #5 of 165 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (5.9x P/E vs. 32x median) with a higher return on equity (21.6% vs. 19.7%) and slower revenue growth (4.9% vs. 5.2%).
P/E vs sector
5.9x
median 32x
ROE vs sector
21.6%
median 19.7%
Growth vs sector
4.9%
median 5.2%
Sector rank
#5
of 165 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 165 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $152.63 today · expected CAGR -1% – 8%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.94B | $9.39B | $9.86B | $10.35B | $10.87B |
| Net income | $3.93B | $4.13B | $4.34B | $4.55B | $4.78B |
| EPS | $23.58 | $24.76 | $26.00 | $27.30 | $28.66 |
| Share price (low) | $117.89 | $123.79 | $129.98 | $136.48 | $143.30 |
| Share price (high) | $188.63 | $198.06 | $207.96 | $218.36 | $229.28 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -23% / 24% | -10% / 14% | -5% / 11% | -3% / 9% | -1% / 8% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for AER:
- High net margins (50.7%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (21.6%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~13.5%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (67/100).
The case against AER:
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 2.4x) adds financial risk.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 2.4x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: AerCap Holdings NV is a large-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 5.9x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (67/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
AER — frequently asked questions
Is AER a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates AerCap Holdings NV Favorable (67/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is AER's rating on The Stocks School?
AerCap Holdings NV currently scores 67/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does AER's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from AerCap Holdings NV's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for AER calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this AER analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell AER. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.