AES
AES Corporation
$14.70
▲ 0.3%Updated Today 5:06 AM ET
▲ Up 39.0% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$10.48B
P/E
7.78x
Forward P/E (est.)
7.44x
ROE
34.4%
Revenue Growth
3.0%
EPS Growth
4.5%
Profit Margin
10.8%
FCF Yield
6.5%
Debt / Equity
7.36x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
0.73x
Dividend Yield
4.8%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
48/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what AES's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. AES trades near $14.70, above its 50-day average ($14.54) and 200-day average ($14.36). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 52 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. AES's is $0.06 (~0.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month AES found buyers near $14.57 (support) and sellers near $14.74 (resistance); its 52-week range is $10.02–$17.65. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.1× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
AES Corporation (AES) is a large-cap company in the Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders industry, part of the Utilities sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $10.48B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $12.23B in revenue and $910.00M in net profit.
Our model rates AES Neutral (48/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
2.4%
Revenue moved from $11.14B in 2021 to $12.23B in 2025, a 2.4% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (3.0%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
18.1%
Operating Margin
13.2%
Net Margin
7.4%
ROE
34.4%
AES Corporation keeps about 10.8% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 18.1% gross margin and 13.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 34.4%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
—
Net Debt
—
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
7.36x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 7.4x, with a current ratio of 0.7x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it.
Operating CF
$4.31B
Free Cash Flow
-$1.62B
FCF Margin
-13.3%
In the latest year AES Corporation produced about $4.31B of operating cash flow but negative free cash flow as it invested heavily. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 6.5% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
7.78x
P/S
0.86x
P/B
2.52x
EV / EBITDA
—
AES trades at 7.8x trailing earnings (about 7.4x on estimated forward earnings), 0.9x sales, and 2.5x book value. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How AES stacks up against its Utilities peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Utilities sector (31 S&P 500 companies), AES ranks #22 of 31 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (7.8x P/E vs. 22.2x median) with a higher return on equity (34.4% vs. 10.4%) and slower revenue growth (3.0% vs. 9.0%).
P/E vs sector
7.8x
median 22.2x
ROE vs sector
34.4%
median 10.4%
Growth vs sector
3.0%
median 9.0%
Sector rank
#22
of 31 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Utilities companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 31 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$6.96 – $11.14
vs. $14.70 today · expected CAGR -14% – -5%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.60B | $12.98B | $13.37B | $13.77B | $14.18B |
| Net income | $882.00M | $908.46M | $935.71M | $963.78M | $992.70M |
| EPS | $1.24 | $1.27 | $1.31 | $1.35 | $1.39 |
| Share price (low) | $6.18 | $6.37 | $6.56 | $6.76 | $6.96 |
| Share price (high) | $9.89 | $10.19 | $10.50 | $10.81 | $11.14 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -58% / -33% | -34% / -17% | -24% / -11% | -18% / -7% | -14% / -5% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for AES:
- Strong return on equity (34.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~6.5%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Pays a 4.8% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against AES:
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 7.4x) adds financial risk.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 7.4x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: AES Corporation is a large-cap utilities business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 7.8x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (48/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
AES — frequently asked questions
Is AES a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates AES Corporation Neutral (48/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is AES's rating on The Stocks School?
AES Corporation currently scores 48/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does AES's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from AES Corporation's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for AES calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this AES analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell AES. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.