NRG
NRG Energy
$137.66
▼ 0.9%Updated Today 5:06 AM ET
▼ Down 11.5% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$29.04B
P/E
122.9x
Forward P/E (est.)
175.58x
ROE
8.8%
Revenue Growth
10.6%
EPS Growth
-81.7%
Profit Margin
0.7%
FCF Yield
-2.1%
Debt / Equity
9.78x
ROIC
6.0%
Interest Coverage
2.77x
Current Ratio
0.84x
Dividend Yield
1.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.2%
Rating Score
15/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what NRG's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. NRG trades near $137.66, below its 50-day average ($142.03) and 200-day average ($156.49). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 56 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. NRG's is $5.47 (~4.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month NRG found buyers near $120.11 (support) and sellers near $143.08 (resistance); its 52-week range is $120.11–$189.96. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
NRG Energy (NRG) is a large-cap company in the Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders industry, part of the Utilities sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $29.04B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $30.35B in revenue and $864.00M in net profit.
Our model rates NRG Weak (15/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
3.2%
Revenue moved from $26.78B in 2021 to $30.35B in 2025, a 3.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 10.6% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
19.1%
Operating Margin
6.1%
Net Margin
2.8%
ROE
8.8%
NRG Energy keeps about 0.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 19.1% gross margin and 6.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 8.8% and return on invested capital about 6.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$23.18B
Net Debt
$23.00B
Net Debt / EBITDA
12.47x
Debt / Equity
9.78x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 9.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 2.8x, with a current ratio of 0.8x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $23.18B of total debt against $178.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.91B
Free Cash Flow
$766.00M
FCF Margin
2.5%
In the latest year NRG Energy produced about $1.91B of operating cash flow and $766.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about -2.1% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
122.9x
P/S
0.92x
P/B
18.92x
EV / EBITDA
15.65x
NRG trades at 122.9x trailing earnings (about 175.6x on estimated forward earnings), 0.9x sales, and 18.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How NRG stacks up against its Utilities peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Utilities sector (31 S&P 500 companies), NRG ranks #31 of 31 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (122.9x P/E vs. 22.2x median) with a lower return on equity (8.8% vs. 10.4%) and faster revenue growth (10.6% vs. 9.0%).
P/E vs sector
122.9x
median 22.2x
ROE vs sector
8.8%
median 10.4%
Growth vs sector
10.6%
median 9.0%
Sector rank
#31
of 31 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Utilities companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 31 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$538.06 – $894.34
vs. $137.66 today · expected CAGR 31% – 45%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $33.69B | $37.39B | $41.50B | $46.07B | $51.14B |
| Net income | $1.01B | $1.12B | $1.25B | $1.38B | $1.53B |
| EPS | $4.79 | $5.32 | $5.90 | $6.55 | $7.27 |
| Share price (low) | $354.44 | $393.42 | $436.70 | $484.74 | $538.06 |
| Share price (high) | $589.13 | $653.93 | $725.87 | $805.71 | $894.34 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 157% / 328% | 69% / 118% | 47% / 74% | 37% / 56% | 31% / 45% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for NRG:
- Revenue is growing 10.6% a year, a sign of real demand.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Utilities, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against NRG:
- Thin net margins (0.7%) leave little room for error.
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 9.8x) adds financial risk.
- Interest coverage is thin (2.8x), so debt costs bite.
- A rich 122.9x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Limited free cash flow at today's price.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (15/100).
Valuation risk — at 122.9x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 9.8x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Margin risk — thin profitability (0.7%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: NRG Energy is a large-cap utilities business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 122.9x earnings, which our model scores Weak (15/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
NRG — frequently asked questions
Is NRG a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates NRG Energy Weak (15/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is NRG's rating on The Stocks School?
NRG Energy currently scores 15/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does NRG's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from NRG Energy's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for NRG calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this NRG analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell NRG. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.