ASML
ASML Holding NV
$1,858.36
▲ 5.0%Updated Today 12:11 PM ET
ASML at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Favorable · 67/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 132.7% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$674.26B
P/E
61.13x
Forward P/E (est.)
49.37x
ROE
44.7%
Revenue Growth
15.6%
EPS Growth
23.8%
Profit Margin
31.3%
FCF Yield
1.2%
Debt / Equity
0.19x
ROIC
39.0%
Interest Coverage
74.01x
Current Ratio
1.26x
Dividend Yield
0.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
7.2%
Rating Score
67/100
ASML Holding NV (ASML) is a mega-cap company in the Semiconductors industry, part of the Information Technology sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $674.26B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $32.67B in revenue and $9.61B in net profit.
Our model rates ASML Favorable (67/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ASML's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ASML trades near $1,858.36, above its 50-day average ($1,655.25) and 200-day average ($1,319.67). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 49 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ASML's is $100.62 (~5.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month ASML found buyers near $1,638.38 (support) and sellers near $1,999.96 (resistance); its 52-week range is $683.48–$1,999.96. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.5× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
15.1%
Revenue moved from $6.88B in 2016 to $32.67B in 2025, a 18.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 15.6% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
52.8%
Operating Margin
34.6%
Net Margin
29.4%
ROE
44.7%
ASML Holding NV keeps about 31.3% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 52.8% gross margin and 34.6% operating margin. Return on equity is 44.7% and return on invested capital about 39.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$3.01B
Net Debt
-$9.91B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.88x
Debt / Equity
0.19x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 74.0x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $3.01B of total debt against $12.92B of cash.
Operating CF
$12.66B
Free Cash Flow
$11.08B
FCF Margin
33.9%
In the latest year ASML Holding NV produced about $12.66B of operating cash flow and $11.08B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 1.2% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
61.13x
P/S
19.11x
P/B
14.51x
EV / EBITDA
53.89x
ASML trades at 61.1x trailing earnings (about 49.4x on estimated forward earnings), 19.1x sales, and 14.5x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 7.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$938.99
Current price
$1,858.36
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$11.08B
Growth, years 1–5
15.6%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where ASML sits versus its Information Technology sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 57 Information Technology companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How ASML stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Information Technology sector (137 S&P 500 companies), ASML ranks #19 of 137 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (61.1x P/E vs. 44.5x median) with a higher return on equity (44.7% vs. 21.1%) and slower revenue growth (15.6% vs. 18.1%).
P/E vs sector
61.1x
median 44.5x
ROE vs sector
44.7%
median 21.1%
Growth vs sector
15.6%
median 18.1%
Sector rank
#19
of 137 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 137 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $1,858.36 today · expected CAGR 1% – 11%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $37.89B | $43.96B | $50.99B | $59.15B | $68.61B |
| Net income | $10.99B | $12.75B | $14.79B | $17.15B | $19.90B |
| EPS | $28.51 | $33.07 | $38.37 | $44.51 | $51.63 |
| Share price (low) | $1,054.97 | $1,223.76 | $1,419.57 | $1,646.70 | $1,910.17 |
| Share price (high) | $1,739.27 | $2,017.56 | $2,340.36 | $2,714.82 | $3,149.19 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -43% / -6% | -19% / 4% | -9% / 8% | -3% / 10% | 1% / 11% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for ASML:
- Revenue is growing 15.6% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (31.3%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (44.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.2x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (67/100).
The case against ASML:
- A rich 61.1x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Valuation risk — at 61.1x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: ASML Holding NV is a mega-cap information technology business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 61.1x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (67/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
ASML — frequently asked questions
Is ASML a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates ASML Holding NV Favorable (67/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is ASML's rating on The Stocks School?
ASML Holding NV currently scores 67/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does ASML's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from ASML Holding NV's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for ASML calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this ASML analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell ASML. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.