ASTH
Astrana Health Inc
$40.02
▲ 2.2%Updated Aug 19, 11:10 AM ET
ASTH at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Unrated · 0/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Market Cap
$0.00
P/E
—
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
—
Revenue Growth
—
EPS Growth
—
Profit Margin
—
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
—
ROIC
6.0%
Interest Coverage
4.88x
Current Ratio
1.23x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
0/100
Astrana Health Inc (ASTH) is a small-cap company in the Health Care industry, part of the Health Care sector of the S&P 500.
In its latest reported year it generated about $3.18B in revenue and $22.49M in net profit.
Our model rates ASTH Unrated (0/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
4.3% average over the last 3 years
±4.3 pts around 8.8% across 9 years
grew in 8 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 9 years
6.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
4Y CAGR
42.4%
Revenue moved from $356.36M in 2017 to $3.18B in 2025, a 31.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly steady year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
2.5%
Net Margin
0.7%
ROE
—
Total Debt
$226.05M
Net Debt
-$174.74M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-2.23x
Debt / Equity
—
Leverage: debt-to-equity is n/a, and operating profit covers interest about 4.9x, with a current ratio of 1.2x. Detailed balance-sheet leverage is limited for this name. It carries roughly $226.05M of total debt against $400.79M of cash.
Operating CF
$114.60M
Free Cash Flow
$104.49M
FCF Margin
3.3%
In the latest year Astrana Health Inc produced about $114.60M of operating cash flow and $104.49M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.
Total paid (latest FY)
$7.88M
History on record
8 years
dividend uses 8% of free cash flow
35% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 1 year in a row
payout was cut at least once in the last 8 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
—
P/S
—
P/B
—
EV / EBITDA
—
ASTH trades at n/a trailing earnings. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$32.19
Current price
$40.02
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$104.49M
Growth, years 1–5
4.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where ASTH sits versus its Health Care sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 83 Health Care companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How ASTH stacks up against its Health Care peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Health Care sector (324 S&P 500 companies), ASTH ranks #110 of 324 by our overall rating.
P/E vs sector
—
median 27.3x
ROE vs sector
—
median 14.1%
Growth vs sector
—
median 7.6%
Sector rank
#110
of 324 by rating
Peers are the closest Health Care companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 324 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $40.02 today · expected CAGR -5% – 5%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.44B | $3.71B | $4.01B | $4.33B | $4.68B |
| Net income | $103.09M | $111.34M | $120.24M | $129.86M | $140.25M |
| EPS | $1.85 | $2.00 | $2.16 | $2.33 | $2.52 |
| Share price (low) | $22.19 | $23.97 | $25.89 | $27.96 | $30.20 |
| Share price (high) | $36.99 | $39.95 | $43.15 | $46.60 | $50.33 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -45% / -8% | -23% / -0% | -14% / 3% | -9% / 4% | -5% / 5% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for ASTH:
- As an established S&P 500 member in Health Care, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against ASTH:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Astrana Health Inc is a small-cap health care business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Unrated (0/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 17 Wall Street analysts covering ASTH recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+6 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
ASTH's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
ASTH — frequently asked questions
Is ASTH a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Review Astrana Health Inc's fundamentals, valuation, and 5-year financials on this page, then make your own decision — and consider a licensed professional.
Where does ASTH's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Astrana Health Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for ASTH calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this ASTH analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell ASTH. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.