AVB
AvalonBay Communities
$179.89
▲ 1.4%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▼ Down 14.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$25.16B
P/E
22.03x
Forward P/E (est.)
22.11x
ROE
9.7%
Revenue Growth
4.0%
EPS Growth
-0.4%
Profit Margin
37.2%
FCF Yield
6.7%
Debt / Equity
0.81x
ROIC
8.0%
Interest Coverage
7.8x
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
3.9%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.2%
Rating Score
61/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what AVB's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. AVB trades near $179.89, below its 50-day average ($181.21) and 200-day average ($180.29). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 40 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. AVB's is $3.53 (~2.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month AVB found buyers near $179.08 (support) and sellers near $190.89 (resistance); its 52-week range is $160.10–$209.86. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.0× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
AvalonBay Communities (AVB) is a large-cap company in the Multi-Family Residential REITs industry, part of the Real Estate sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $25.16B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $7.04M in revenue.
Our model rates AVB Favorable (61/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
22.9%
Revenue moved from $3.08M in 2021 to $7.04M in 2025, a 22.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.0%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
62.8%
Operating Margin
28698.5%
Net Margin
37.2%
ROE
9.7%
AvalonBay Communities keeps about 37.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 62.8% gross margin and 28698.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 9.7% and return on invested capital about 8.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$9.36B
Net Debt
$9.24B
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.57x
Debt / Equity
0.81x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 7.8x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $9.36B of total debt against $121.23M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.67B
Free Cash Flow
$1.41B
FCF Margin
20013.3%
In the latest year AvalonBay Communities produced about $1.67B of operating cash flow and $1.41B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 6.7% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
22.03x
P/S
8.61x
P/B
2.17x
EV / EBITDA
—
AVB trades at 22.0x trailing earnings (about 22.1x on estimated forward earnings), 8.6x sales, and 2.2x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How AVB stacks up against its Real Estate peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Real Estate sector (31 S&P 500 companies), AVB ranks #8 of 31 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (22x P/E vs. 30.8x median) with a higher return on equity (9.7% vs. 8.0%) and slower revenue growth (4.0% vs. 5.3%).
P/E vs sector
22x
median 30.8x
ROE vs sector
9.7%
median 8.0%
Growth vs sector
4.0%
median 5.3%
Sector rank
#8
of 31 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Real Estate companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 31 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.30 – $0.50
vs. $179.89 today · expected CAGR -72% – -69%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.32M | $7.62M | $7.92M | $8.24M | $8.57M |
| Net income | $2.71M | $2.82M | $2.93M | $3.05M | $3.17M |
| EPS | $0.02 | $0.02 | $0.02 | $0.02 | $0.02 |
| Share price (low) | $0.25 | $0.26 | $0.27 | $0.28 | $0.30 |
| Share price (high) | $0.43 | $0.45 | $0.46 | $0.48 | $0.50 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -100% / -100% | -96% / -95% | -88% / -86% | -80% / -77% | -72% / -69% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for AVB:
- High net margins (37.2%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~6.7%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Pays a 3.9% dividend on top of any price gains.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (61/100).
The case against AVB:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: AvalonBay Communities is a large-cap real estate business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 22.0x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (61/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.