BLDR
Builders FirstSource
$75.60
▲ 4.3%Updated Today 11:30 AM ET
BLDR at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 30/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 24.6% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$9.11B
P/E
27.81x
Forward P/E (est.)
39.73x
ROE
6.9%
Revenue Growth
-8.3%
EPS Growth
-66.4%
Profit Margin
2.0%
FCF Yield
20.1%
Debt / Equity
1.02x
ROIC
14.0%
Interest Coverage
4.07x
Current Ratio
1.76x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
-0.3%
Rating Score
30/100
Builders FirstSource (BLDR) is a mid-cap company in the Building Products industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $9.11B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $15.19B in revenue and $435.20M in net profit.
Our model rates BLDR Weak (30/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
32.8% average over the last 3 years
±3.8 pts around 29.0% across 10 years
grew in 5 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 10 of 10 years
14.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what BLDR's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. BLDR trades near $75.60, below its 50-day average ($78.65) and 200-day average ($100.92). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 59 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. BLDR's is $4.46 (~5.9% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month BLDR found buyers near $71.50 (support) and sellers near $90.96 (resistance); its 52-week range is $65.10–$151.03. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.7× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
-6.5%
Revenue moved from $6.37B in 2016 to $15.19B in 2025, a 10.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 8.3% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
30.4%
Operating Margin
5.2%
Net Margin
2.9%
ROE
6.9%
Builders FirstSource keeps about 2.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 30.4% gross margin and 5.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 6.9% and return on invested capital about 14.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$408.87M
Net Debt
$310.53M
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.39x
Debt / Equity
1.02x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.0x, and operating profit covers interest about 4.1x, with a current ratio of 1.8x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $408.87M of total debt against $98.34M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.22B
Free Cash Flow
$853.28M
FCF Margin
5.6%
In the latest year Builders FirstSource produced about $1.22B of operating cash flow and $853.28M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 20.1% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
27.81x
P/S
0.56x
P/B
2.51x
EV / EBITDA
—
BLDR trades at 27.8x trailing earnings (about 39.7x on estimated forward earnings), 0.6x sales, and 2.5x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -0.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$81.41
Current price
$75.60
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$853.28M
Growth, years 1–5
-5.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where BLDR sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How BLDR stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), BLDR ranks #130 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (27.8x P/E vs. 32x median) with a lower return on equity (6.9% vs. 18.1%) and slower revenue growth (-8.3% vs. 6.0%).
P/E vs sector
27.8x
median 32x
ROE vs sector
6.9%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
-8.3%
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#130
of 273 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $75.60 today · expected CAGR -0% – 10%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $15.65B | $16.12B | $16.60B | $17.10B | $17.61B |
| Net income | $469.39M | $483.47M | $497.98M | $512.92M | $528.30M |
| EPS | $3.90 | $4.01 | $4.13 | $4.26 | $4.38 |
| Share price (low) | $66.23 | $68.21 | $70.26 | $72.37 | $74.54 |
| Share price (high) | $109.08 | $112.35 | $115.72 | $119.19 | $122.77 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -12% / 44% | -5% / 22% | -2% / 15% | -1% / 12% | -0% / 10% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for BLDR:
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~20.1%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against BLDR:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-8.3%), limiting the upside engine.
- Thin net margins (2.0%) leave little room for error.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (30/100).
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.0x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-8.3%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Margin risk — thin profitability (2.0%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Builders FirstSource is a mid-cap industrials business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 27.8x earnings, which our model scores Weak (30/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 32 Wall Street analysts covering BLDR recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
BLDR's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
BLDR — frequently asked questions
Is BLDR a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Builders FirstSource Weak (30/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is BLDR's rating on The Stocks School?
Builders FirstSource currently scores 30/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does BLDR's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Builders FirstSource's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for BLDR calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this BLDR analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell BLDR. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.