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TT

S&P 500
Neutral · 53/100

Trane Technologies

Industrials
Building Products

$481.73

0.6%

Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

TT at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 53/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 15.1% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$105.69B

P/E

36.53x

Forward P/E (est.)

33.97x

ROE

34.8%

Revenue Growth

6.4%

EPS Growth

7.5%

Profit Margin

13.4%

FCF Yield

2.1%

Debt / Equity

0.54x

ROIC

24.0%

Interest Coverage

17.5x

Current Ratio

1.1x

Dividend Yield

0.9%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

6.2%

Rating Score

53/100

Business Overview
Research

Trane Technologies (TT) is a large-cap company in the Building Products industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $105.69B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $21.32B in revenue and $2.92B in net profit.

Our model rates TT Neutral (53/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

Narrow moat signalsMoat evidence score: 69/100

Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.

Operating margin level35/100

17.5% average over the last 3 years

Operating margin stability70/100

±2.4 pts around 14.3% across 10 years

Revenue durability69/100

grew in 7 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 10 of 10 years

Return on invested capital95/100

24.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TT's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TT trades near $481.73, above its 50-day average ($471.33) and 200-day average ($434.04). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 56 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TT's is $17.77 (~3.7% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month TT found buyers near $439.42 (support) and sellers near $505.87 (resistance); its 52-week range is $348.06–$505.87. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.7× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

10.8%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $13.51B in 2016 to $21.32B in 2025, a 5.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 6.4% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
4/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

35.9%

Operating Margin

18.6%

Net Margin

13.7%

ROE

34.8%

Trane Technologies keeps about 13.4% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 35.9% gross margin and 18.6% operating margin. Return on equity is 34.8% and return on invested capital about 24.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$4.62B

Net Debt

$2.85B

Net Debt / EBITDA

0.72x

Debt / Equity

0.54x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.5x, and operating profit covers interest about 17.5x, with a current ratio of 1.1x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $4.62B of total debt against $1.76B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$3.19B

Free Cash Flow

$2.81B

FCF Margin

13.2%

In the latest year Trane Technologies produced about $3.19B of operating cash flow and $2.81B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.1% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

SafeSafety score: 89/100

The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.

Dividend yield

0.9%

Per share (latest FY)

$3.76

Total paid (latest FY)

$837.30M

History on record

10 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 30% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

29% of net income paid out

Raise streak63/100

total dividends increased 5 years in a row

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 10 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

36.53x

P/S

4.9x

P/B

10.19x

EV / EBITDA

TT trades at 36.5x trailing earnings (about 34.0x on estimated forward earnings), 4.9x sales, and 10.2x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$249.45

Current price

$481.73

-48% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$2.81B

Growth, years 1–5

6.4%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$24.07B
PV of terminal value$31.07B
Estimated equity value$55.14B
Shares outstanding221M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where TT sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
36.5xFair
Forward P/E
34.0xFair
P/S ratio
4.9xFair
Revenue growth
6.4%Average
EPS growth
7.5%Average
Gross margin
35.9%Average
Net margin
13.4%Average
ROE
34.8%Strong

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How TT stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), TT ranks #57 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (36.5x P/E vs. 32x median) with a higher return on equity (34.8% vs. 18.1%) and faster revenue growth (6.4% vs. 6.0%).

P/E vs sector

36.5x

median 32x

ROE vs sector

34.8%

median 18.1%

Growth vs sector

6.4%

median 6.0%

Sector rank

#57

of 273 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
TTThis stock36.5x6.4%Neutral· 53
JCI26.6x-3.4%Neutral· 55
CARR40.6x-5.1%Weak· 23
LII19.2x-2.0%Neutral· 51
MAS18.6x-0.3%Neutral· 50
ALLE23.2x8.9%Favorable· 62
BLDR27.8x-8.3%Weak· 30
AOS16.8x0.2%Favorable· 59
Industrials median32x6.0%22/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianJCICARRLIIMASALLEBLDRAOSTTP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $481.73 today · expected CAGR -4%7%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$22.60B$23.96B$25.39B$26.92B$28.53B
Net income$3.16B$3.35B$3.56B$3.77B$3.99B
EPS$14.42$15.29$16.20$17.18$18.21
Share price (low)$317.28$336.31$356.49$377.88$400.56
Share price (high)$533.60$565.62$599.56$635.53$673.66
CAGR (low–high)-34% / 11%-16% / 8%-10% / 8%-6% / 7%-4% / 7%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for TT:

  • Strong return on equity (34.8%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
Bear Case

The case against TT:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 36.5x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Trane Technologies is a large-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 36.5x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (53/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 33 Wall Street analysts covering TT recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 3.9 / 5 across 33 analysts
Strong Buy 9Buy 10Hold 14Sell 0Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

TT's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

TT — frequently asked questions

Is TT a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Trane Technologies Neutral (53/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is TT's rating on The Stocks School?

Trane Technologies currently scores 53/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does TT's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Trane Technologies's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for TT calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this TT analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell TT. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.