DIS
The Walt Disney Company
$105.10
▲ 0.4%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
DIS at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Favorable · 58/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 11.9% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$172.78B
P/E
16.26x
Forward P/E (est.)
12.74x
ROE
10.3%
Revenue Growth
3.4%
EPS Growth
27.6%
Profit Margin
11.5%
FCF Yield
4.7%
Debt / Equity
0.38x
ROIC
9.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
0.68x
Dividend Yield
1.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.0%
Rating Score
58/100
Disney is a collection of irreplaceable assets — franchises, parks, and ESPN — working through a difficult transition: linear TV is melting faster than streaming profits are growing. Streaming has crossed into profitability and parks remain a cash machine, which is why EPS grows (+28%) despite barely-growing revenue. At ~15x earnings and 9x EV/EBITDA, little of a successful transition is priced in.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
16.7% average over the last 3 years
±5.3 pts around 18.1% across 9 years
grew in 7 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
9.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Institutional-style technical read — sample, educational only
Sideways — price ($105.10) sits between its 50-day ($102.10) and 200-day ($106.33) averages.
Setup type
Range / mean-reversion
Holding time
1–6 weeks
Risk level
Medium
Risk / reward
1 : 0.2
Trade levels
Entry zone
$101.29 – $105.10
Stop loss
$94.38
Target 1
$104.53
Target 2
$113.99
Target 3
$117.80
Position sizing: Scale in; risk ≤ 1% of capital, half-size to start.
Technical analysis
RSI(14) is neutral (48); the MACD histogram is negative (downward momentum). Sideways — price ($105.10) sits between its 50-day ($102.10) and 200-day ($106.33) averages. ATR(14) is $2.54 (~2.4% of price), which sets the stop distance. Recent support sits near $95.65 and resistance near $104.53; the 52-week range is $92.19–$124.61.
Fundamental analysis
Revenue is stable at 3.4%, net margin near 11.5%, ROE roughly 10.3%; shares trade at 16x earnings. Quality score: 58/100.
Options flow
Live options-flow data needs a paid feed, so it isn't shown. For realized volatility, ATR of $2.54 (~2.4%/day) is the range to size stops and any option strikes around.
Volume analysis
The latest session traded 1.0× the 20-day average volume — roughly in line with normal activity.
Catalysts
The next quarterly earnings report is the main near-term catalyst. Technically, watch for a break and hold above $104.53 or a loss of $95.65.
Bullish scenario
Streaming has turned profitable, and price increases plus the ad tier keep improving unit economics.
Bearish scenario
Linear TV (still a major profit source) is in secular decline, and ESPN's full streaming pivot is expensive and unproven.
Invalidation
A daily close below $94.38 invalidates this setup read.
Probability-based scenario using sample data — not a recommendation or a guarantee of profit. Prioritize capital preservation, use stops, and size positions for risk. Past performance does not predict future results.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what DIS's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. DIS trades near $105.10, around its 50-day average ($102.10) and 200-day average ($106.33). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 48 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. DIS's is $2.54 (~2.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month DIS found buyers near $95.65 (support) and sellers near $104.53 (resistance); its 52-week range is $92.19–$124.61. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.0× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
8.8%
Revenue grew from $55.14B in 2017 to $94.42B in 2025, a 7.0% CAGR. The most recent year grew about 3.4% year over year, a moderate pace consistent with a mature business.
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
18.6%
Net Margin
13.1%
ROE
10.3%
Gross margin runs near 37.2% with operating margin around 13.5% and net margin near 11.5%. Return on equity of roughly 10.3% indicates moderate capital efficiency, and the margin profile has trended steady over the period shown.
Total Debt
$42.03B
Net Debt
$36.34B
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.07x
Debt / Equity
0.38x
Interest-bearing debt is about 25.0% of market capitalization and the debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 0.38x. Leverage is moderate and manageable relative to cash flow.
Operating CF
$18.10B
Free Cash Flow
$10.08B
FCF Margin
10.7%
Operating cash flow comfortably exceeds reported net income, and free cash flow yield is around 4.7%. Cash generation is robust and supports buybacks, dividends, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.
Dividend yield
1.5%
Total paid (latest FY)
$1.80B
History on record
6 years
dividend uses 18% of free cash flow
15% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 1 year in a row
payout was cut at least once in the last 6 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
16.26x
P/S
1.86x
P/B
1.97x
EV / EBITDA
9.1x
Shares trade at roughly 16x trailing earnings (13x forward), 1.9x sales, and 9x EV/EBITDA. That is a reasonable-to-cheap multiple relative to the broader market. Our internal rating is Favorable.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$96.47
Current price
$105.10
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$10.08B
Growth, years 1–5
3.4%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where DIS sits versus its Communication Services sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 44 Communication Services companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How DIS stacks up against its Communication Services peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Communication Services sector (95 S&P 500 companies), DIS ranks #17 of 95 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (16.3x P/E vs. 17.1x median) with a lower return on equity (10.3% vs. 14.9%) and slower revenue growth (3.4% vs. 5.3%).
P/E vs sector
16.3x
median 17.1x
ROE vs sector
10.3%
median 14.9%
Growth vs sector
3.4%
median 5.3%
Sector rank
#17
of 95 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Communication Services companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 95 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $105.10 today · expected CAGR -4% – 6%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $97.26B | $100.18B | $103.18B | $106.28B | $109.46B |
| Net income | $12.64B | $13.02B | $13.41B | $13.82B | $14.23B |
| EPS | $7.69 | $7.92 | $8.16 | $8.40 | $8.66 |
| Share price (low) | $76.91 | $79.21 | $81.59 | $84.04 | $86.56 |
| Share price (high) | $123.05 | $126.74 | $130.55 | $134.46 | $138.50 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -27% / 17% | -13% / 10% | -8% / 7% | -5% / 6% | -4% / 6% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
- Streaming has turned profitable, and price increases plus the ad tier keep improving unit economics.
- Parks and experiences are a wide-moat, pricing-power business that funds the transition.
- At a mid-teens multiple, the valuation treats iconic IP as ex-growth — a low bar to beat.
- Linear TV (still a major profit source) is in secular decline, and ESPN's full streaming pivot is expensive and unproven.
- Content costs are enormous, and franchise fatigue at the box office is a recurring risk.
- Revenue growth of ~3% shows the portfolio's engines are barely outrunning its anchors.
- Cord-cutting accelerating beyond streaming's ability to offset.
- Box-office and content-slate execution.
- Consumer-spending sensitivity at the parks.
Disney is a sum-of-the-parts value story: pay ~15x for the parks and franchises, get the streaming turnaround as the swing factor. The monitorables are streaming margins and ESPN's transition. Suited to patient value investors comfortable owning a fixable business through a messy middle.
Analyst Ratings
What 37 Wall Street analysts covering DIS recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+5 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
DIS's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
DIS — frequently asked questions
Is DIS a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates The Walt Disney Company Favorable (58/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is DIS's rating on The Stocks School?
The Walt Disney Company currently scores 58/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does DIS's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from The Walt Disney Company's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for DIS calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this DIS analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell DIS. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.