TMUS
T-Mobile US
$179.06
▼ 0.5%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
TMUS at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 51/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 17.8% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$192.11B
P/E
18.69x
Forward P/E (est.)
20.37x
ROE
17.8%
Revenue Growth
9.5%
EPS Growth
-8.3%
Profit Margin
11.7%
FCF Yield
9.2%
Debt / Equity
1.56x
ROIC
10.0%
Interest Coverage
21.89x
Current Ratio
1.09x
Dividend Yield
2.1%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
-0.3%
Rating Score
51/100
T-Mobile US (TMUS) is a large-cap company in the Wireless Telecommunication Services industry, part of the Communication Services sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $192.11B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $88.31B in revenue and $10.99B in net profit.
Our model rates TMUS Neutral (51/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
20.3% average over the last 3 years
±4.8 pts around 13.5% across 10 years
grew in 7 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 6 of 10 years
10.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TMUS's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TMUS trades near $179.06, below its 50-day average ($186.67) and 200-day average ($204.05). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 41 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TMUS's is $5.80 (~3.2% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month TMUS found buyers near $165.66 (support) and sellers near $189.89 (resistance); its 52-week range is $165.66–$261.56. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.1× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
2.5%
Revenue moved from $37.49B in 2016 to $88.31B in 2025, a 10.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 9.5% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
62.7%
Operating Margin
20.7%
Net Margin
12.4%
ROE
17.8%
T-Mobile US keeps about 11.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 62.7% gross margin and 20.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 17.8% and return on invested capital about 10.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$86.28B
Net Debt
$82.76B
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.53x
Debt / Equity
1.56x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.6x, and operating profit covers interest about 21.9x, with a current ratio of 1.1x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $86.28B of total debt against $3.52B of cash.
Operating CF
$27.95B
Free Cash Flow
$18.00B
FCF Margin
20.4%
In the latest year T-Mobile US produced about $27.95B of operating cash flow and $18.00B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 9.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Dividend yield
2.1%
Per share (latest FY)
$3.80
Total paid (latest FY)
$4.12B
History on record
3 years
dividend uses 23% of free cash flow
37% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 2 years in a row
no cuts in the last 3 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
18.69x
P/S
2.26x
P/B
3.78x
EV / EBITDA
—
TMUS trades at 18.7x trailing earnings (about 20.4x on estimated forward earnings), 2.3x sales, and 3.8x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -0.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$388.25
Current price
$179.06
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$18.00B
Growth, years 1–5
9.5%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where TMUS sits versus its Communication Services sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 44 Communication Services companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How TMUS stacks up against its Communication Services peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Communication Services sector (95 S&P 500 companies), TMUS ranks #23 of 95 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (18.7x P/E vs. 17.1x median) with a higher return on equity (17.8% vs. 14.9%) and faster revenue growth (9.5% vs. 5.3%).
P/E vs sector
18.7x
median 17.1x
ROE vs sector
17.8%
median 14.9%
Growth vs sector
9.5%
median 5.3%
Sector rank
#23
of 95 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Communication Services companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 95 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $179.06 today · expected CAGR -1% – 10%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $96.26B | $104.92B | $114.36B | $124.66B | $135.87B |
| Net income | $11.55B | $12.59B | $13.72B | $14.96B | $16.30B |
| EPS | $10.77 | $11.73 | $12.79 | $13.94 | $15.20 |
| Share price (low) | $118.43 | $129.08 | $140.70 | $153.37 | $167.17 |
| Share price (high) | $204.55 | $222.96 | $243.03 | $264.90 | $288.74 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -34% / 14% | -15% / 12% | -8% / 11% | -4% / 10% | -1% / 10% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for TMUS:
- Strong return on equity (17.8%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~9.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Pays a 2.1% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against TMUS:
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 1.6x) adds financial risk.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.6x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: T-Mobile US is a large-cap communication services business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 18.7x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (51/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 37 Wall Street analysts covering TMUS recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
TMUS's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
TMUS — frequently asked questions
Is TMUS a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates T-Mobile US Neutral (51/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is TMUS's rating on The Stocks School?
T-Mobile US currently scores 51/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does TMUS's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from T-Mobile US's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for TMUS calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this TMUS analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell TMUS. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.