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EXE

S&P 500
Favorable · 68/100

Expand Energy

Energy
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

$88.44

1.7%

Updated Today 7:15 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 28.0% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$20.81B

P/E

6.41x

Forward P/E (est.)

9.16x

ROE

17.4%

Revenue Growth

170.6%

EPS Growth

-39.3%

Profit Margin

22.4%

FCF Yield

Debt / Equity

0.27x

ROIC

8.0%

Interest Coverage

23.76x

Current Ratio

1.11x

Dividend Yield

2.6%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

0.1%

Rating Score

68/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what EXE's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. EXE trades near $88.44, below its 50-day average ($95.29) and 200-day average ($104.35). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 30 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. EXE's is $1.99 (~2.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month EXE found buyers near $86.80 (support) and sellers near $100.89 (resistance); its 52-week range is $86.80–$126.62. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.1× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

Expand Energy (EXE) is a large-cap company in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $20.81B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $12.12B in revenue and $1.82B in net profit.

Our model rates EXE Favorable (68/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

21.6%

Revenue moved from $5.55B in 2021 to $12.12B in 2025, a 21.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 170.6% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

76.5%

Operating Margin

20.4%

Net Margin

15.0%

ROE

17.4%

Expand Energy keeps about 22.4% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 76.5% gross margin and 20.4% operating margin. Return on equity is 17.4% and return on invested capital about 8.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$5.01B

Net Debt

$2.79B

Net Debt / EBITDA

1.13x

Debt / Equity

0.27x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.3x, and operating profit covers interest about 23.8x, with a current ratio of 1.1x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $5.01B of total debt against $2.22B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$4.58B

Free Cash Flow

$1.84B

FCF Margin

15.2%

In the latest year Expand Energy produced about $4.58B of operating cash flow and $1.84B of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

6.41x

P/S

1.73x

P/B

1.39x

EV / EBITDA

4.39x

EXE trades at 6.4x trailing earnings (about 9.2x on estimated forward earnings), 1.7x sales, and 1.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 0.1% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
6.4xCheap
Forward P/E
9.2xCheap
P/S ratio
1.7xCheap
Revenue growth
170.6%Strong
EPS growth
-39.3%Weak
Gross margin
76.5%Strong
Net margin
22.4%Strong
ROE
17.4%Average

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How EXE stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Energy sector (21 S&P 500 companies), EXE ranks #3 of 21 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (6.4x P/E vs. 18.9x median) with a higher return on equity (17.4% vs. 14.8%) and faster revenue growth (170.6% vs. -0.4%).

P/E vs sector

6.4x

median 18.9x

ROE vs sector

17.4%

median 14.8%

Growth vs sector

170.6%

median -0.4%

Sector rank

#3

of 21 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
EXEThis stock6.4x170.6%Favorable· 68
TPL49.1x15.3%Strong· 75
EQT9.6x50.8%Strong· 86
APA7.7x-17.4%Favorable· 63
DVN21.4x-1.5%Neutral· 50
OXY10.9x-8.0%Favorable· 65
FANG180.5x18.1%Weak· 37
EOG12.6x2.7%Favorable· 63
Energy median18.9x-0.4%53/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianTPLEQTAPADVNOXYFANGEOGEXEP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 21 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$243.63$389.81

vs. $88.44 today · expected CAGR 22%35%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$17.58B$25.49B$36.96B$53.59B$77.71B
Net income$2.64B$3.82B$5.54B$8.04B$11.66B
EPS$11.02$15.98$23.18$33.60$48.73
Share price (low)$55.11$79.92$115.88$168.02$243.63
Share price (high)$88.18$127.86$185.40$268.83$389.81
CAGR (low–high)-38% / -0%-5% / 20%9% / 28%17% / 32%22% / 35%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for EXE:

  • Revenue is growing 170.6% a year, a sign of real demand.
  • High net margins (22.4%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (17.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.3x) lowers risk.
  • Pays a 2.6% dividend on top of any price gains.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (68/100).
Bear Case

The case against EXE:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Expand Energy is a large-cap energy business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 6.4x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (68/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.