OXY
Occidental Petroleum
$56.09
▲ 0.1%Updated Today 11:30 AM ET
OXY at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Favorable · 65/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 14.3% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$48.65B
P/E
11.76x
Forward P/E (est.)
8.4x
ROE
12.9%
Revenue Growth
-8.0%
EPS Growth
47.5%
Profit Margin
23.6%
FCF Yield
21.9%
Debt / Equity
0.62x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.21x
Dividend Yield
1.9%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
0.5%
Rating Score
65/100
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is a large-cap company in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $48.65B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $21.57B in revenue.
Our model rates OXY Favorable (65/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what OXY's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. OXY trades near $56.09, above its 50-day average ($55.99) and 200-day average ($49.37). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 22 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. OXY's is $1.53 (~2.7% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month OXY found buyers near $47.77 (support) and sellers near $58.95 (resistance); its 52-week range is $38.80–$67.45. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
-4.5%
Revenue moved from $10.09B in 2016 to $21.57B in 2025, a 8.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 8.0% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
71.9%
Operating Margin
14.9%
Net Margin
23.6%
ROE
12.9%
Occidental Petroleum keeps about 23.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 71.9% gross margin and 14.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 12.9%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$14.71B
Net Debt
$10.90B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.62x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.6x, with a current ratio of 1.2x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $14.71B of total debt against $3.81B of cash.
Operating CF
$10.53B
Free Cash Flow
$4.11B
FCF Margin
19.0%
In the latest year Occidental Petroleum produced about $10.53B of operating cash flow and $4.11B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 21.9% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.
Dividend yield
1.9%
Per share (latest FY)
$0.96
Total paid (latest FY)
$945.00M
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 23% of free cash flow
total dividends increased 4 years in a row
payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
11.76x
P/S
2.47x
P/B
1.17x
EV / EBITDA
—
OXY trades at 11.8x trailing earnings (about 8.4x on estimated forward earnings), 2.5x sales, and 1.2x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 0.5% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$42.35
Current price
$56.09
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$4.11B
Growth, years 1–5
-5.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where OXY sits versus its Energy sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 47 Energy companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How OXY stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Energy sector (57 S&P 500 companies), OXY ranks #10 of 57 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (11.8x P/E vs. 19.4x median) with a lower return on equity (12.9% vs. 13.3%) and slower revenue growth (-8.0% vs. 0.7%).
P/E vs sector
11.8x
median 19.4x
ROE vs sector
12.9%
median 13.3%
Growth vs sector
-8.0%
median 0.7%
Sector rank
#10
of 57 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 57 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $56.09 today · expected CAGR -3% – 8%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $22.22B | $22.88B | $23.57B | $24.28B | $25.00B |
| Net income | $5.33B | $5.49B | $5.66B | $5.83B | $6.00B |
| EPS | $6.15 | $6.33 | $6.52 | $6.72 | $6.92 |
| Share price (low) | $43.03 | $44.32 | $45.65 | $47.02 | $48.43 |
| Share price (high) | $73.77 | $75.98 | $78.26 | $80.61 | $83.03 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -23% / 32% | -11% / 16% | -7% / 12% | -4% / 9% | -3% / 8% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for OXY:
- High net margins (23.6%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~21.9%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (65/100).
The case against OXY:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-8.0%), limiting the upside engine.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-8.0%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Occidental Petroleum is a large-cap energy business with shrinking revenue, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 11.8x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (65/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 29 Wall Street analysts covering OXY recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+6 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
OXY's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
OXY — frequently asked questions
Is OXY a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Occidental Petroleum Favorable (65/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is OXY's rating on The Stocks School?
Occidental Petroleum currently scores 65/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does OXY's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Occidental Petroleum's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for OXY calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this OXY analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell OXY. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.