Skip to content

GD

S&P 500
Neutral · 48/100

General Dynamics

Industrials
Aerospace & Defense

$386.31

0.2%

Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

GD at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 48/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 25.7% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$101.02B

P/E

24.04x

Forward P/E (est.)

21.78x

ROE

17.4%

Revenue Growth

-16.9%

EPS Growth

10.3%

Profit Margin

8.0%

FCF Yield

4.2%

Debt / Equity

0.33x

ROIC

12.0%

Interest Coverage

13.42x

Current Ratio

1.38x

Dividend Yield

1.8%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

4.9%

Rating Score

48/100

Business Overview
Research

General Dynamics (GD) is a large-cap company in the Aerospace & Defense industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $101.02B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $52.55B in revenue and $4.21B in net profit.

Our model rates GD Neutral (48/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

Narrow moat signalsMoat evidence score: 62/100

Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.

Operating margin level8/100

10.1% average over the last 3 years

Operating margin stability86/100

±1.1 pts around 11.2% across 10 years

Revenue durability89/100

grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 9 of 9 years

Return on invested capital35/100

12.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what GD's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. GD trades near $386.31, above its 50-day average ($343.91) and 200-day average ($345.16). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 61 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. GD's is $8.41 (~2.2% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month GD found buyers near $339.27 (support) and sellers near $373.60 (resistance); its 52-week range is $290.30–$373.60. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

8.1%

2/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $30.56B in 2016 to $52.55B in 2025, a 6.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 16.9% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?

Profitability
Research
3/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

15.2%

Operating Margin

10.2%

Net Margin

8.0%

ROE

17.4%

General Dynamics keeps about 8.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 15.2% gross margin and 10.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 17.4% and return on invested capital about 12.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$8.07B

Net Debt

$4.42B

Net Debt / EBITDA

0.83x

Debt / Equity

0.33x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.3x, and operating profit covers interest about 13.4x, with a current ratio of 1.4x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $8.07B of total debt against $3.65B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$5.12B

Free Cash Flow

$3.96B

FCF Margin

7.5%

In the latest year General Dynamics produced about $5.12B of operating cash flow and $3.96B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 4.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

SafeSafety score: 100/100

The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.

Dividend yield

1.8%

Total paid (latest FY)

$1.59B

History on record

10 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 40% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

38% of net income paid out

Raise streak100/100

total dividends increased 9 years in a row

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 10 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

24.04x

P/S

1.87x

P/B

3.77x

EV / EBITDA

GD trades at 24.0x trailing earnings (about 21.8x on estimated forward earnings), 1.9x sales, and 3.8x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$150.23

Current price

$386.31

-61% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$3.96B

Growth, years 1–5

-5.0%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$20.75B
PV of terminal value$19.88B
Estimated equity value$40.63B
Shares outstanding270M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where GD sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
24.0xFair
Forward P/E
21.8xFair
P/S ratio
1.9xCheap
Revenue growth
-16.9%Weak
EPS growth
10.3%Average
Gross margin
15.2%Weak
Net margin
8.0%Average
ROE
17.4%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How GD stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), GD ranks #78 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (24x P/E vs. 32x median) with a lower return on equity (17.4% vs. 18.1%) and slower revenue growth (-16.9% vs. 6.0%).

P/E vs sector

24x

median 32x

ROE vs sector

17.4%

median 18.1%

Growth vs sector

-16.9%

median 6.0%

Sector rank

#78

of 273 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
GDThis stock24x-16.9%Neutral· 48
HWM63.7x14.2%Favorable· 59
LMT27.9x4.6%Weak· 39
NOC17.5x5.0%Favorable· 65
TDG33.2x13.3%Neutral· 54
BA80.3x32.8%Weak· 38
LHX30x-20.8%Weak· 38
AXON34.0%Neutral· 42
Industrials median32x6.0%22/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianHWMLMTNOCTDGBALHXGDP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $386.31 today · expected CAGR -8%3%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$54.13B$55.75B$57.42B$59.15B$60.92B
Net income$4.33B$4.46B$4.59B$4.73B$4.87B
EPS$16.56$17.06$17.57$18.09$18.64
Share price (low)$231.83$238.79$245.95$253.33$260.93
Share price (high)$397.42$409.35$421.63$434.28$447.30
CAGR (low–high)-40% / 3%-21% / 3%-14% / 3%-10% / 3%-8% / 3%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for GD:

  • Strong return on equity (17.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~4.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.3x) lowers risk.
Bear Case

The case against GD:

  • Revenue growth is slow/negative (-16.9%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-16.9%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: General Dynamics is a large-cap industrials business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 24.0x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (48/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 33 Wall Street analysts covering GD recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 3.8 / 5 across 33 analysts
Strong Buy 7Buy 14Hold 11Sell 1Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

GD's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

GD — frequently asked questions

Is GD a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates General Dynamics Neutral (48/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is GD's rating on The Stocks School?

General Dynamics currently scores 48/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does GD's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from General Dynamics's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for GD calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this GD analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell GD. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.