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TDG

S&P 500
Neutral · 54/100

TransDigm Group

Industrials
Aerospace & Defense

$1,295.90

2.4%

Updated Today 7:15 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 6.1% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$74.30B

P/E

35.72x

Forward P/E (est.)

32.7x

ROE

37.1%

Revenue Growth

13.3%

EPS Growth

9.2%

Profit Margin

21.9%

FCF Yield

2.1%

Debt / Equity

2.97x

ROIC

15.0%

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

3.52x

Dividend Yield

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

6.4%

Rating Score

54/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TDG's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TDG trades near $1,295.90, above its 50-day average ($1,217.49) and 200-day average ($1,282.60). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 58 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TDG's is $38.41 (~3.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month TDG found buyers near $1,169.67 (support) and sellers near $1,331.33 (resistance); its 52-week range is $1,123.61–$1,623.83. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.1× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

TransDigm Group (TDG) is a large-cap company in the Aerospace & Defense industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $74.30B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $8.83B in revenue and $2.07B in net profit.

Our model rates TDG Neutral (54/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

16.5%

Revenue moved from $4.80B in 2021 to $8.83B in 2025, a 16.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 13.3% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

60.1%

Operating Margin

47.2%

Net Margin

23.5%

ROE

37.1%

TransDigm Group keeps about 21.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 60.1% gross margin and 47.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 37.1% and return on invested capital about 15.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$31.28B

Net Debt

$27.39B

Net Debt / EBITDA

6.58x

Debt / Equity

2.97x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 3.0x, with a current ratio of 3.5x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $31.28B of total debt against $3.88B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$2.04B

Free Cash Flow

$1.82B

FCF Margin

20.6%

In the latest year TransDigm Group produced about $2.04B of operating cash flow and $1.82B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.1% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

35.72x

P/S

8.25x

P/B

6.11x

EV / EBITDA

22.1x

TDG trades at 35.7x trailing earnings (about 32.7x on estimated forward earnings), 8.2x sales, and 6.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.4% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
35.7xExpensive
Forward P/E
32.7xExpensive
P/S ratio
8.2xExpensive
Revenue growth
13.3%Strong
EPS growth
9.2%Average
Gross margin
60.1%Strong
Net margin
21.9%Strong
ROE
37.1%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How TDG stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Industrials sector (80 S&P 500 companies), TDG ranks #34 of 80 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (35.7x P/E vs. 30x median) with a higher return on equity (37.1% vs. 24.7%) and faster revenue growth (13.3% vs. 5.0%).

P/E vs sector

35.7x

median 30x

ROE vs sector

37.1%

median 24.7%

Growth vs sector

13.3%

median 5.0%

Sector rank

#34

of 80 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
TDGThis stock35.7x13.3%Neutral· 54
NOC16.2x5.0%Favorable· 65
GD21.8x-16.9%Neutral· 48
LHX31.1x-20.8%Weak· 38
HWM62.1x14.2%Favorable· 59
LMT24.6x4.6%Neutral· 45
AXON168.7x34.0%Weak· 36
BA77.1x32.8%Weak· 38
Industrials median30x5.0%52/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianNOCGDLHXHWMLMTAXONBATDGP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 80 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$1,471.91$2,408.57

vs. $1,295.90 today · expected CAGR 3%13%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$9.98B$11.28B$12.74B$14.40B$16.27B
Net income$2.30B$2.59B$2.93B$3.31B$3.74B
EPS$41.03$46.37$52.40$59.21$66.90
Share price (low)$902.75$1,020.10$1,152.72$1,302.57$1,471.91
Share price (high)$1,477.22$1,669.26$1,886.27$2,131.48$2,408.57
CAGR (low–high)-30% / 14%-11% / 13%-4% / 13%0% / 13%3% / 13%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for TDG:

  • Revenue is growing 13.3% a year, a sign of real demand.
  • High net margins (21.9%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (37.1%) shows capital is put to work well.
Bear Case

The case against TDG:

  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 3.0x) adds financial risk.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 35.7x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 3.0x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: TransDigm Group is a large-cap industrials business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 35.7x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (54/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.