MAT
Mattel Inc
$14.76
▲ 1.8%Updated Today 11:10 AM ET
MAT at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Unrated · 0/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Market Cap
$0.00
P/E
—
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
—
Revenue Growth
—
EPS Growth
—
Profit Margin
—
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
—
ROIC
10.0%
Interest Coverage
4.41x
Current Ratio
1.9x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
0/100
Mattel Inc (MAT) is a small-cap company in the Leisure Products industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500.
In its latest reported year it generated about $5.35B in revenue and $397.58M in net profit.
Our model rates MAT Unrated (0/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
49.0% average over the last 3 years
±4.0 pts around 45.8% across 10 years
grew in 3 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 8 of 10 years
10.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
4Y CAGR
-0.5%
Revenue moved from $5.46B in 2016 to $5.35B in 2025, a -0.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly steady year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
48.7%
Operating Margin
10.2%
Net Margin
7.4%
ROE
—
Total Debt
$2.33B
Net Debt
$1.81B
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.31x
Debt / Equity
—
Leverage: debt-to-equity is n/a, and operating profit covers interest about 4.4x, with a current ratio of 1.9x. Detailed balance-sheet leverage is limited for this name. It carries roughly $2.33B of total debt against $523.86M of cash.
Operating CF
$593.25M
Free Cash Flow
$593.25M
FCF Margin
11.1%
In the latest year Mattel Inc produced about $593.25M of operating cash flow and $593.25M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Per share (latest FY)
$0.91
Total paid (latest FY)
$311.97M
History on record
2 years
dividend uses 53% of free cash flow
78% of net income paid out
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 2 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
—
P/S
—
P/B
—
EV / EBITDA
—
MAT trades at n/a trailing earnings. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.
Where MAT sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How MAT stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), MAT ranks #123 of 158 by our overall rating.
P/E vs sector
—
median 26x
ROE vs sector
—
median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
—
median 6.8%
Sector rank
#123
of 158 by rating
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $14.76 today · expected CAGR 9% – 21%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.78B | $6.24B | $6.74B | $7.28B | $7.86B |
| Net income | $404.28M | $436.62M | $471.55M | $509.28M | $550.02M |
| EPS | $1.42 | $1.53 | $1.65 | $1.78 | $1.93 |
| Share price (low) | $16.98 | $18.34 | $19.81 | $21.39 | $23.10 |
| Share price (high) | $28.30 | $30.57 | $33.01 | $35.65 | $38.50 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 15% / 92% | 11% / 44% | 10% / 31% | 10% / 25% | 9% / 21% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for MAT:
- As an established S&P 500 member in Consumer Discretionary, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against MAT:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Mattel Inc is a small-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Unrated (0/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 21 Wall Street analysts covering MAT recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
MAT's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
MAT — frequently asked questions
Is MAT a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Review Mattel Inc's fundamentals, valuation, and 5-year financials on this page, then make your own decision — and consider a licensed professional.
Where does MAT's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Mattel Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for MAT calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this MAT analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MAT. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.