NSSC
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
$38.02
▲ 0.6%Updated Today 11:10 AM ET
NSSC at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Unrated · 0/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Market Cap
$0.00
P/E
—
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
—
Revenue Growth
—
EPS Growth
—
Profit Margin
—
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
—
ROIC
20.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
4.95x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
0/100
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) is a small-cap company in the Electrical Equipment industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500.
In its latest reported year it generated about $181.62M in revenue and $43.41M in net profit.
Our model rates NSSC Unrated (0/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
50.9% average over the last 3 years
±5.2 pts around 45.1% across 9 years
grew in 6 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 9 years
20.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
4Y CAGR
12.3%
Revenue moved from $87.37M in 2017 to $181.62M in 2025, a 9.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly steady year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
55.6%
Operating Margin
25.5%
Net Margin
23.9%
ROE
—
Total Debt
$3.90M
Net Debt
-$110.50M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-2.39x
Debt / Equity
—
Leverage: debt-to-equity is n/a, with a current ratio of 5.0x. Detailed balance-sheet leverage is limited for this name. It carries roughly $3.90M of total debt against $114.41M of cash.
Operating CF
$53.53M
Free Cash Flow
$51.41M
FCF Margin
28.3%
In the latest year NAPCO Security Technologies Inc produced about $53.53M of operating cash flow and $51.41M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Per share (latest FY)
$0.52
Total paid (latest FY)
$13.63M
History on record
3 years
dividend uses 27% of free cash flow
31% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 2 years in a row
no cuts in the last 3 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
—
P/S
—
P/B
—
EV / EBITDA
—
NSSC trades at n/a trailing earnings. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$24.71
Current price
$38.02
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$51.41M
Growth, years 1–5
4.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where NSSC sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How NSSC stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), NSSC ranks #226 of 273 by our overall rating.
P/E vs sector
—
median 31.4x
ROE vs sector
—
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
—
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#226
of 273 by rating
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $38.02 today · expected CAGR -11% – -1%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $196.15M | $211.84M | $228.79M | $247.09M | $266.86M |
| Net income | $47.08M | $50.84M | $54.91M | $59.30M | $64.05M |
| EPS | $1.32 | $1.42 | $1.54 | $1.66 | $1.79 |
| Share price (low) | $15.81 | $17.08 | $18.44 | $19.92 | $21.51 |
| Share price (high) | $26.35 | $28.46 | $30.74 | $33.20 | $35.85 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -58% / -31% | -33% / -13% | -21% / -7% | -15% / -3% | -11% / -1% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for NSSC:
- As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against NSSC:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: NAPCO Security Technologies Inc is a small-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Unrated (0/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 12 Wall Street analysts covering NSSC recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
NSSC's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
NSSC — frequently asked questions
Is NSSC a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Review NAPCO Security Technologies Inc's fundamentals, valuation, and 5-year financials on this page, then make your own decision — and consider a licensed professional.
Where does NSSC's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from NAPCO Security Technologies Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for NSSC calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this NSSC analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell NSSC. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.