NVR
NVR, Inc.
$6,431.55
▲ 2.0%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
NVR at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 55/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 7.0% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$18.22B
P/E
14.12x
Forward P/E (est.)
16.72x
ROE
32.7%
Revenue Growth
-7.7%
EPS Growth
-15.6%
Profit Margin
12.5%
FCF Yield
7.5%
Debt / Equity
0.25x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
2.8%
Rating Score
55/100
NVR, Inc. (NVR) is a large-cap company in the Homebuilding industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $18.22B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $10.32B in revenue and $1.34B in net profit.
Our model rates NVR Neutral (55/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what NVR's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. NVR trades near $6,431.55, around its 50-day average ($6,245.90) and 200-day average ($7,094.86). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 59 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. NVR's is $194.38 (~3.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month NVR found buyers near $6,110.00 (support) and sellers near $6,956.48 (resistance); its 52-week range is $5,501.01–$8,618.28. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.6× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
3.6%
Revenue moved from $5.82B in 2016 to $10.32B in 2025, a 6.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 7.7% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
23.5%
Operating Margin
16.5%
Net Margin
13.0%
ROE
32.7%
NVR, Inc. keeps about 12.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 23.5% gross margin and 16.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 32.7%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$600.12M
Net Debt
-$2.21B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.25x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.2x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $600.12M of total debt against $2.81B of cash.
Operating CF
$1.12B
Free Cash Flow
$1.10B
FCF Margin
10.6%
In the latest year NVR, Inc. produced about $1.12B of operating cash flow and $1.10B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 7.5% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
14.12x
P/S
1.68x
P/B
5.35x
EV / EBITDA
—
NVR trades at 14.1x trailing earnings (about 16.7x on estimated forward earnings), 1.7x sales, and 5.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 2.8% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$4,169.80
Current price
$6,431.55
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$1.10B
Growth, years 1–5
-5.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where NVR sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How NVR stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), NVR ranks #34 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (14.1x P/E vs. 25.8x median) with a higher return on equity (32.7% vs. 26.2%) and slower revenue growth (-7.7% vs. 6.8%).
P/E vs sector
14.1x
median 25.8x
ROE vs sector
32.7%
median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
-7.7%
median 6.8%
Sector rank
#34
of 158 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $6,431.55 today · expected CAGR -7% – 4%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.63B | $10.95B | $11.28B | $11.62B | $11.97B |
| Net income | $1.38B | $1.42B | $1.47B | $1.51B | $1.56B |
| EPS | $487.91 | $502.55 | $517.62 | $533.15 | $549.14 |
| Share price (low) | $3,903.26 | $4,020.36 | $4,140.97 | $4,265.20 | $4,393.16 |
| Share price (high) | $6,830.71 | $7,035.63 | $7,246.70 | $7,464.11 | $7,688.03 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -39% / 6% | -21% / 5% | -14% / 4% | -10% / 4% | -7% / 4% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for NVR:
- Strong return on equity (32.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~7.5%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.2x) lowers risk.
The case against NVR:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-7.7%), limiting the upside engine.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-7.7%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: NVR, Inc. is a large-cap consumer discretionary business with shrinking revenue, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 14.1x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (55/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 14 Wall Street analysts covering NVR recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
NVR's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
NVR — frequently asked questions
Is NVR a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates NVR, Inc. Neutral (55/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is NVR's rating on The Stocks School?
NVR, Inc. currently scores 55/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does NVR's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from NVR, Inc.'s SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for NVR calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this NVR analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell NVR. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.