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NXPI

S&P 500
Favorable · 61/100

NXP Semiconductors

Information Technology
Semiconductors

$237.66

2.5%

Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

NXPI at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Favorable · 61/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 48.2% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$69.02B

P/E

23.59x

Forward P/E (est.)

20.73x

ROE

26.1%

Revenue Growth

2.4%

EPS Growth

13.8%

Profit Margin

21.0%

FCF Yield

5.1%

Debt / Equity

1.22x

ROIC

11.0%

Interest Coverage

6.54x

Current Ratio

2.24x

Dividend Yield

1.3%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

5.3%

Rating Score

61/100

Business Overview
Research

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is a large-cap company in the Semiconductors industry, part of the Information Technology sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $69.02B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $12.27B in revenue and $2.02B in net profit.

Our model rates NXPI Favorable (61/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

Narrow moat signalsMoat evidence score: 53/100

Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.

Gross margin level90/100

56.0% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability47/100

±4.2 pts around 52.5% across 10 years

Revenue durability8/100

grew in 4 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 10 of 10 years

Return on invested capital30/100

11.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what NXPI's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. NXPI trades near $237.66, around its 50-day average ($294.79) and 200-day average ($236.76). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 38 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. NXPI's is $15.38 (~6.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month NXPI found buyers near $267.55 (support) and sellers near $328.21 (resistance); its 52-week range is $183.00–$339.95. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.2× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

2.6%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $9.50B in 2016 to $12.27B in 2025, a 2.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (2.4%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
4/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

54.7%

Operating Margin

24.8%

Net Margin

16.5%

ROE

26.1%

NXP Semiconductors keeps about 21.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 54.7% gross margin and 24.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 26.1% and return on invested capital about 11.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$11.04B

Net Debt

$7.33B

Net Debt / EBITDA

2.41x

Debt / Equity

1.22x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 6.5x, with a current ratio of 2.2x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $11.04B of total debt against $3.71B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$2.82B

Free Cash Flow

$2.42B

FCF Margin

19.7%

In the latest year NXP Semiconductors produced about $2.82B of operating cash flow and $2.42B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.1% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

BorderlineSafety score: 65/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Dividend yield

1.3%

Per share (latest FY)

$4.06

Total paid (latest FY)

$1.02B

History on record

8 years

Free-cash-flow coverage96/100

dividend uses 42% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio81/100

51% of net income paid out

Raise streak0/100

no current raise streak

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 8 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

23.59x

P/S

6.5x

P/B

4.26x

EV / EBITDA

NXPI trades at 23.6x trailing earnings (about 20.7x on estimated forward earnings), 6.5x sales, and 4.3x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 5.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$150.23

Current price

$237.66

-37% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$2.42B

Growth, years 1–5

2.4%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$17.45B
PV of terminal value$20.48B
Estimated equity value$37.93B
Shares outstanding252M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where NXPI sits versus its Information Technology sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
23.6xFair
Forward P/E
20.7xFair
P/S ratio
6.5xFair
Revenue growth
2.4%Weak
EPS growth
13.8%Average
Gross margin
54.7%Average
Net margin
21.0%Average
ROE
26.1%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 98 Information Technology companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How NXPI stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Information Technology sector (230 S&P 500 companies), NXPI ranks #44 of 230 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (23.6x P/E vs. 38.9x median) with a higher return on equity (26.1% vs. 17.5%) and slower revenue growth (2.4% vs. 17.7%).

P/E vs sector

23.6x

median 38.9x

ROE vs sector

26.1%

median 17.5%

Growth vs sector

2.4%

median 17.7%

Sector rank

#44

of 230 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
NXPIThis stock23.6x2.4%Favorable· 61
UMC30.5x2.2%Favorable· 60
MPWR103.5x23.9%Neutral· 54
STM-11.1%Weak· 19
ASX67.5x9.8%Weak· 40
MCHP7.1%Weak· 32
ON55.7x-9.0%Weak· 32
ADI58.2x29.8%Favorable· 69
Information Technology median38.9x17.7%0/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianUMCMPWRASXONADINXPIP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 230 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $237.66 today · expected CAGR -14%-5%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$12.64B$13.02B$13.41B$13.81B$14.22B
Net income$2.02B$2.08B$2.15B$2.21B$2.28B
EPS$6.96$7.17$7.39$7.61$7.84
Share price (low)$97.48$100.40$103.41$106.52$109.71
Share price (high)$167.10$172.12$177.28$182.60$188.08
CAGR (low–high)-59% / -30%-35% / -15%-24% / -9%-18% / -6%-14% / -5%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for NXPI:

  • High net margins (21.0%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (26.1%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.1%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (61/100).
Bear Case

The case against NXPI:

  • Revenue growth is slow (2.4%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.2x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (2.4%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: NXP Semiconductors is a large-cap information technology business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 23.6x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (61/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 36 Wall Street analysts covering NXPI recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.0 / 5 across 36 analysts
Strong Buy 9Buy 19Hold 7Sell 1Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

NXPI's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

NXPI — frequently asked questions

Is NXPI a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates NXP Semiconductors Favorable (61/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is NXPI's rating on The Stocks School?

NXP Semiconductors currently scores 61/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does NXPI's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from NXP Semiconductors's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for NXPI calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this NXPI analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell NXPI. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.