ODFL
Old Dominion
$219.52
▼ 0.7%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▲ Up 41.7% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$45.97B
P/E
45.62x
Forward P/E (est.)
50.89x
ROE
23.4%
Revenue Growth
-4.8%
EPS Growth
-10.3%
Profit Margin
18.5%
FCF Yield
6.1%
Debt / Equity
0.01x
ROIC
24.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.57x
Dividend Yield
0.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.8%
Rating Score
46/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ODFL's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ODFL trades near $219.52, above its 50-day average ($216.72) and 200-day average ($176.10). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 49 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ODFL's is $10.78 (~4.9% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month ODFL found buyers near $203.69 (support) and sellers near $252.03 (resistance); its 52-week range is $126.01–$252.03. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.5× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Old Dominion (ODFL) is a large-cap company in the Cargo Ground Transportation industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $45.97B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $5.50B in revenue and $1.02B in net profit.
Our model rates ODFL Neutral (46/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
1.1%
Revenue moved from $5.26B in 2021 to $5.50B in 2025, a 1.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 4.8% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
89.6%
Operating Margin
24.8%
Net Margin
18.6%
ROE
23.4%
Old Dominion keeps about 18.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 89.6% gross margin and 24.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 23.4% and return on invested capital about 24.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$45.00M
Net Debt
-$243.08M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.18x
Debt / Equity
0.01x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.0x, with a current ratio of 1.6x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $45.00M of total debt against $288.08M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.37B
Free Cash Flow
$955.10M
FCF Margin
17.4%
In the latest year Old Dominion produced about $1.37B of operating cash flow and $955.10M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 6.1% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
45.62x
P/S
8.76x
P/B
7.26x
EV / EBITDA
27.77x
ODFL trades at 45.6x trailing earnings (about 50.9x on estimated forward earnings), 8.8x sales, and 7.3x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.8% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How ODFL stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (80 S&P 500 companies), ODFL ranks #54 of 80 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (45.6x P/E vs. 30x median) with a lower return on equity (23.4% vs. 24.7%) and slower revenue growth (-4.8% vs. 5.0%).
P/E vs sector
45.6x
median 30x
ROE vs sector
23.4%
median 24.7%
Growth vs sector
-4.8%
median 5.0%
Sector rank
#54
of 80 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 80 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$163.00 – $267.78
vs. $219.52 today · expected CAGR -6% – 4%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.66B | $5.83B | $6.01B | $6.19B | $6.37B |
| Net income | $1.08B | $1.11B | $1.14B | $1.18B | $1.21B |
| EPS | $5.17 | $5.33 | $5.49 | $5.65 | $5.82 |
| Share price (low) | $144.82 | $149.16 | $153.64 | $158.25 | $163.00 |
| Share price (high) | $237.92 | $245.06 | $252.41 | $259.98 | $267.78 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -34% / 8% | -18% / 6% | -11% / 5% | -8% / 4% | -6% / 4% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for ODFL:
- High net margins (18.5%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (23.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~6.1%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.0x) lowers risk.
The case against ODFL:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-4.8%), limiting the upside engine.
- A rich 45.6x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
Valuation risk — at 45.6x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-4.8%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Old Dominion is a large-cap industrials business with shrinking revenue, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 45.6x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (46/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.