UAL
United Airlines Holdings
$118.68
▲ 0.3%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▲ Up 59.2% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$38.40B
P/E
10.22x
Forward P/E (est.)
10.01x
ROE
24.9%
Revenue Growth
4.7%
EPS Growth
2.0%
Profit Margin
6.1%
FCF Yield
13.9%
Debt / Equity
1.42x
ROIC
14.0%
Interest Coverage
7.03x
Current Ratio
0.7x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
2.2%
Rating Score
52/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what UAL's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. UAL trades near $118.68, above its 50-day average ($100.91) and 200-day average ($102.26). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 54 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. UAL's is $5.39 (~4.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month UAL found buyers near $95.30 (support) and sellers near $124.79 (resistance); its 52-week range is $71.55–$124.79. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.2× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
United Airlines Holdings (UAL) is a large-cap company in the Passenger Airlines industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $38.40B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $59.07B in revenue and $3.35B in net profit.
Our model rates UAL Neutral (52/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
24.4%
Revenue moved from $24.63B in 2021 to $59.07B in 2025, a 24.4% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.7%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
63.5%
Operating Margin
8.0%
Net Margin
5.7%
ROE
24.9%
United Airlines Holdings keeps about 6.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 63.5% gross margin and 8.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 24.9% and return on invested capital about 14.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$11.49B
Net Debt
$3.62B
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.77x
Debt / Equity
1.42x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.4x, and operating profit covers interest about 7.0x, with a current ratio of 0.7x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $11.49B of total debt against $7.87B of cash.
Operating CF
$8.43B
Free Cash Flow
$2.56B
FCF Margin
4.3%
In the latest year United Airlines Holdings produced about $8.43B of operating cash flow and $2.56B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 13.9% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
10.22x
P/S
0.63x
P/B
2.37x
EV / EBITDA
5.63x
UAL trades at 10.2x trailing earnings (about 10.0x on estimated forward earnings), 0.6x sales, and 2.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 2.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How UAL stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (80 S&P 500 companies), UAL ranks #38 of 80 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (10.2x P/E vs. 30x median) with a higher return on equity (24.9% vs. 24.7%) and slower revenue growth (4.7% vs. 5.0%).
P/E vs sector
10.2x
median 30x
ROE vs sector
24.9%
median 24.7%
Growth vs sector
4.7%
median 5.0%
Sector rank
#38
of 80 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 80 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$83.62 – $139.37
vs. $118.68 today · expected CAGR -7% – 3%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $62.02B | $65.12B | $68.38B | $71.80B | $75.39B |
| Net income | $3.72B | $3.91B | $4.10B | $4.31B | $4.52B |
| EPS | $11.47 | $12.04 | $12.64 | $13.27 | $13.94 |
| Share price (low) | $68.79 | $72.23 | $75.85 | $79.64 | $83.62 |
| Share price (high) | $114.66 | $120.39 | $126.41 | $132.73 | $139.37 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -42% / -3% | -22% / 1% | -14% / 2% | -9% / 3% | -7% / 3% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for UAL:
- Strong return on equity (24.9%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~13.9%) funds buybacks and dividends.
The case against UAL:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.4x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: United Airlines Holdings is a large-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 10.2x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (52/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.