ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive
$85.63
▼ 1.4%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▼ Down 1.7% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$71.97B
P/E
27.75x
Forward P/E (est.)
39.65x
ROE
423.4%
Revenue Growth
7.9%
EPS Growth
-86.8%
Profit Margin
14.3%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
29.45x
ROIC
89.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
0.76x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.6%
Rating Score
42/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ORLY's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ORLY trades near $85.63, below its 50-day average ($91.52) and 200-day average ($95.59). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 50 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ORLY's is $2.24 (~2.6% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month ORLY found buyers near $85.35 (support) and sellers near $93.77 (resistance); its 52-week range is $85.35–$108.72. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 2.0× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is a large-cap company in the Automotive Retail industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $71.97B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $17.78B in revenue and $2.54B in net profit.
Our model rates ORLY Neutral (42/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
7.5%
Revenue moved from $13.33B in 2021 to $17.78B in 2025, a 7.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 7.9% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
51.6%
Operating Margin
19.5%
Net Margin
14.3%
ROE
423.4%
O’Reilly Automotive keeps about 14.3% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 51.6% gross margin and 19.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 423.4% and return on invested capital about 89.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$4.12B
Net Debt
$3.87B
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.12x
Debt / Equity
29.45x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 29.4x, with a current ratio of 0.8x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $4.12B of total debt against $252.63M of cash.
Operating CF
$2.76B
Free Cash Flow
$1.59B
FCF Margin
9.0%
In the latest year O’Reilly Automotive produced about $2.76B of operating cash flow and $1.59B of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
27.75x
P/S
4.24x
P/B
—
EV / EBITDA
19.89x
ORLY trades at 27.8x trailing earnings (about 39.6x on estimated forward earnings), 4.2x sales. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.6% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How ORLY stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (48 S&P 500 companies), ORLY ranks #35 of 48 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (27.8x P/E vs. 23.7x median) with a higher return on equity (423.4% vs. 39.2%) and faster revenue growth (7.9% vs. 6.2%).
P/E vs sector
27.8x
median 23.7x
ROE vs sector
423.4%
median 39.2%
Growth vs sector
7.9%
median 6.2%
Sector rank
#35
of 48 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 48 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$75.04 – $123.59
vs. $85.63 today · expected CAGR -3% – 8%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.20B | $20.74B | $22.40B | $24.19B | $26.13B |
| Net income | $2.69B | $2.90B | $3.14B | $3.39B | $3.66B |
| EPS | $3.24 | $3.50 | $3.78 | $4.09 | $4.41 |
| Share price (low) | $55.15 | $59.57 | $64.33 | $69.48 | $75.04 |
| Share price (high) | $90.84 | $98.11 | $105.96 | $114.43 | $123.59 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -36% / 6% | -17% / 7% | -9% / 7% | -5% / 8% | -3% / 8% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for ORLY:
- Strong return on equity (423.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Consumer Discretionary, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against ORLY:
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 29.4x) adds financial risk.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 29.4x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: O’Reilly Automotive is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 27.8x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (42/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.