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HLT

S&P 500
Weak · 39/100

Hilton Worldwide

Consumer Discretionary
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

$342.93

1.7%

Updated Today 7:15 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 40.9% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$79.41B

P/E

51.5x

Forward P/E (est.)

49.93x

ROE

171.0%

Revenue Growth

8.7%

EPS Growth

3.1%

Profit Margin

12.6%

FCF Yield

1.6%

Debt / Equity

13.22x

ROIC

Interest Coverage

4.73x

Current Ratio

0.61x

Dividend Yield

0.2%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

6.3%

Rating Score

39/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what HLT's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. HLT trades near $342.93, above its 50-day average ($328.77) and 200-day average ($296.23). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 62 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. HLT's is $8.42 (~2.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month HLT found buyers near $314.55 (support) and sellers near $358.00 (resistance); its 52-week range is $243.53–$358.00. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.1× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

Hilton Worldwide (HLT) is a large-cap company in the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $79.41B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $12.04B in revenue and $1.46B in net profit.

Our model rates HLT Weak (39/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

20.1%

Revenue moved from $5.79B in 2021 to $12.04B in 2025, a 20.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 8.7% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

37.8%

Operating Margin

22.4%

Net Margin

12.1%

ROE

171.0%

Hilton Worldwide keeps about 12.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 37.8% gross margin and 22.4% operating margin. Return on equity is 171.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$11.00M

Net Debt

-$553.00M

Net cash position

Net Debt / EBITDA

-0.21x

Debt / Equity

13.22x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 13.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 4.7x, with a current ratio of 0.6x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $11.00M of total debt against $564.00M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$2.13B

Free Cash Flow

$2.03B

FCF Margin

16.8%

In the latest year Hilton Worldwide produced about $2.13B of operating cash flow and $2.03B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 1.6% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

51.5x

P/S

6.62x

P/B

38.49x

EV / EBITDA

27.58x

HLT trades at 51.5x trailing earnings (about 49.9x on estimated forward earnings), 6.6x sales, and 38.5x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
51.5xExpensive
Forward P/E
49.9xExpensive
P/S ratio
6.6xExpensive
Revenue growth
8.7%Strong
EPS growth
3.1%Weak
Gross margin
37.8%Weak
Net margin
12.6%Strong
ROE
171.0%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How HLT stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector (48 S&P 500 companies), HLT ranks #36 of 48 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (51.5x P/E vs. 23.7x median) with a higher return on equity (171.0% vs. 39.2%) and faster revenue growth (8.7% vs. 6.2%).

P/E vs sector

51.5x

median 23.7x

ROE vs sector

171.0%

median 39.2%

Growth vs sector

8.7%

median 6.2%

Sector rank

#36

of 48 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
HLTThis stock51.5x8.7%Weak· 39
RCL18.8x9.8%Favorable· 66
ABNB33.6x12.6%Favorable· 66
MAR40.3x4.7%Weak· 38
BKNG21.6x14.9%Favorable· 68
CCL13.5x6.1%Neutral· 54
EXPE19.4x10.0%Favorable· 59
NCLH16.5x6.5%Neutral· 45
Consumer Discretionary median23.7x6.2%54/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianRCLABNBMARBKNGCCLEXPENCLHHLTP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 48 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$302.69$497.98

vs. $342.93 today · expected CAGR -2%8%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$13.12B$14.30B$15.59B$16.99B$18.52B
Net income$1.57B$1.72B$1.87B$2.04B$2.22B
EPS$6.92$7.54$8.22$8.96$9.76
Share price (low)$214.43$233.73$254.77$277.70$302.69
Share price (high)$352.78$384.53$419.14$456.86$497.98
CAGR (low–high)-37% / 3%-17% / 6%-9% / 7%-5% / 7%-2% / 8%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for HLT:

  • Strong return on equity (171.0%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • As an established S&P 500 member in Consumer Discretionary, it brings scale and a long operating history.
Bear Case

The case against HLT:

  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 13.2x) adds financial risk.
  • A rich 51.5x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
  • Our model's overall read is Weak (39/100).
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 51.5x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 13.2x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Hilton Worldwide is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 51.5x earnings, which our model scores Weak (39/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.