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VSEC

NASDAQ

VSE Corp

Industrials
Aerospace & Defense

$233.12

1.0%

Updated Today 11:10 AM ET

Report Card

VSEC at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
Growth
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Unrated · 0/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Key Metrics

Market Cap

$0.00

P/E

Forward P/E (est.)

ROE

Revenue Growth

EPS Growth

Profit Margin

FCF Yield

Debt / Equity

ROIC

2.0%

Interest Coverage

44.8x

Current Ratio

3.77x

Dividend Yield

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

Rating Score

0/100

Business Overview
Research

VSE Corp (VSEC) is a small-cap company in the Aerospace & Defense industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500.

In its latest reported year it generated about $1.11B in revenue and $11.70M in net profit.

Our model rates VSEC Unrated (0/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

No moat evidenceMoat evidence score: 23/100

The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.

Operating margin level1/100

8.2% average over the last 3 years

Operating margin stability63/100

±3.0 pts around 6.5% across 10 years

Revenue durability28/100

grew in 5 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency20/100

positive in 6 of 10 years

Return on invested capital0/100

2.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

23.3%

Revenue moved from $691.79M in 2016 to $1.11B in 2025, a 5.4% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly steady year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
0/1 checks passedROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

8.1%

Net Margin

1.1%

ROE

Debt Analysis
Research
2/2 checks passedInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$946.96M

Net Debt

$871.60M

Net Debt / EBITDA

9.73x

Debt / Equity

Leverage: debt-to-equity is n/a, and operating profit covers interest about 44.8x, with a current ratio of 3.8x. Detailed balance-sheet leverage is limited for this name. It carries roughly $946.96M of total debt against $75.36M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$26.99M

Free Cash Flow

$5.71M

FCF Margin

0.5%

In the latest year VSE Corp produced about $26.99M of operating cash flow and $5.71M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

BorderlineSafety score: 54/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Per share (latest FY)

$0.40

Total paid (latest FY)

$8.26M

History on record

10 years

Free-cash-flow coverage0/100

dividend uses 145% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio44/100

71% of net income paid out

Raise streak100/100

total dividends increased 9 years in a row

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 10 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
0/1 checks passedTrading below DCF fair value

P/E

P/S

P/B

EV / EBITDA

VSEC trades at n/a trailing earnings. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$3.49

Current price

$233.12

-99% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$5.71M

Growth, years 1–5

4.0%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$44.12M
PV of terminal value$53.89M
Estimated equity value$98.02M
Shares outstanding28M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where VSEC sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
Forward P/E
P/S ratio
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Gross margin
Net margin
ROE

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How VSEC stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), VSEC ranks #266 of 273 by our overall rating.

P/E vs sector

median 31.4x

ROE vs sector

median 18.1%

Growth vs sector

median 6.0%

Sector rank

#266

of 273 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
VSECThis stockNot rated
ARXSNot rated
ATRONot rated
AVAVNot rated
DRSNot rated
ESLTNot rated
FLYNot rated
FTAINot rated
Industrials median31.4x6.0%22/100
Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $233.12 today · expected CAGR -38%-32%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$1.20B$1.30B$1.40B$1.51B$1.63B
Net income$36.04M$38.92M$42.03M$45.40M$49.03M
EPS$1.28$1.39$1.50$1.62$1.75
Share price (low)$15.41$16.64$17.97$19.41$20.96
Share price (high)$25.68$27.74$29.96$32.35$34.94
CAGR (low–high)-93% / -89%-73% / -66%-57% / -50%-46% / -39%-38% / -32%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for VSEC:

  • As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
Bear Case

The case against VSEC:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: VSE Corp is a small-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Unrated (0/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Latest SEC Filings

VSEC's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

VSEC — frequently asked questions

Is VSEC a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Review VSE Corp's fundamentals, valuation, and 5-year financials on this page, then make your own decision — and consider a licensed professional.

Where does VSEC's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from VSE Corp's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for VSEC calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this VSEC analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell VSEC. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.