XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
$152.61
▼ 1.4%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
XOM at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 45/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 21.8% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$588.00B
P/E
24.82x
Forward P/E (est.)
31.66x
ROE
9.8%
Revenue Growth
-4.1%
EPS Growth
-21.6%
Profit Margin
7.8%
FCF Yield
10.4%
Debt / Equity
0.17x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
45/100
ExxonMobil is a low-cost integrated energy major with advantaged production in the Permian and Guyana. It throws off substantial free cash flow across the cycle and returns it generously, but earnings remain tied to volatile commodity prices.
Institutional-style technical read — sample, educational only
Uptrend — price ($152.61) is above the 50-day ($147.90) and 200-day ($135.67) averages.
Setup type
Range / mean-reversion
Holding time
1–6 weeks
Risk level
Low
Risk / reward
1 : 0.2
Trade levels
Entry zone
$147.93 – $152.61
Stop loss
$133.39
Target 1
$153.81
Target 2
$163.53
Target 3
$168.21
Position sizing: Standard size; risk ≤ 1.5% of capital.
Technical analysis
RSI(14) is oversold (27); the MACD histogram is negative (downward momentum). Uptrend — price ($152.61) is above the 50-day ($147.90) and 200-day ($135.67) averages. ATR(14) is $3.12 (~2.0% of price), which sets the stop distance. Recent support sits near $134.95 and resistance near $153.81; the 52-week range is $105.53–$176.41.
Fundamental analysis
Revenue is contracting at -4.1%, net margin near 7.8%, ROE roughly 9.8%; shares trade at 25x earnings. Quality score: 45/100.
Options flow
Live options-flow data needs a paid feed, so it isn't shown. For realized volatility, ATR of $3.12 (~2.0%/day) is the range to size stops and any option strikes around.
Volume analysis
The latest session traded 0.7× the 20-day average volume — roughly in line with normal activity.
Catalysts
The next quarterly earnings report is the main near-term catalyst. Technically, watch for a break and hold above $153.81 or a loss of $134.95.
Bullish scenario
Low-cost Guyana and Permian assets drive high-return growth.
Bearish scenario
Earnings are highly sensitive to oil and gas prices.
Invalidation
A daily close below $133.39 invalidates this setup read.
Probability-based scenario using sample data — not a recommendation or a guarantee of profit. Prioritize capital preservation, use stops, and size positions for risk. Past performance does not predict future results.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what XOM's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. XOM trades near $152.61, above its 50-day average ($147.90) and 200-day average ($135.67). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 27 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. XOM's is $3.12 (~2.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month XOM found buyers near $134.95 (support) and sellers near $153.81 (resistance); its 52-week range is $105.53–$176.41. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.7× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
5.3%
Revenue grew from $285.00B in 2021 to $350.00B in 2025, a 5.3% CAGR. The most recent year grew about -4.1% year over year, a decline reflecting cyclical or competitive pressure.
Gross Margin
28.7%
Operating Margin
9.9%
Net Margin
7.8%
ROE
9.8%
Gross margin runs near 28.7% with operating margin around 9.9% and net margin near 7.8%. Return on equity of roughly 9.8% indicates moderate capital efficiency, and the margin profile has trended steady over the period shown.
Total Debt
$40.00B
Net Debt
$10.00B
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.19x
Debt / Equity
0.17x
Interest-bearing debt is about 8.0% of market capitalization and the debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 0.17x. Leverage is low, leaving the balance sheet well within comfortable limits.
Operating CF
$33.95B
Free Cash Flow
$27.84B
FCF Margin
8.0%
Operating cash flow comfortably exceeds reported net income, and free cash flow yield is around 10.4%. Cash generation is robust and supports buybacks, dividends, and reinvestment.
P/E
24.82x
P/S
1.8x
P/B
2.1x
EV / EBITDA
6.5x
Shares trade at roughly 25x trailing earnings (12x forward), 1.8x sales, and 7x EV/EBITDA. That is a reasonable-to-cheap multiple relative to the broader market. Our internal rating is Neutral.
Where XOM sits versus its Energy sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 47 Energy companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How XOM stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Energy sector (57 S&P 500 companies), XOM ranks #40 of 57 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (24.8x P/E vs. 19.4x median) with a lower return on equity (9.8% vs. 13.3%) and slower revenue growth (-4.1% vs. 0.7%).
P/E vs sector
24.8x
median 19.4x
ROE vs sector
9.8%
median 13.3%
Growth vs sector
-4.1%
median 0.7%
Sector rank
#40
of 57 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 57 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $152.61 today · expected CAGR -4% – 7%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $360.50B | $371.31B | $382.45B | $393.93B | $405.75B |
| Net income | $28.84B | $29.71B | $30.60B | $31.51B | $32.46B |
| EPS | $7.49 | $7.71 | $7.94 | $8.18 | $8.42 |
| Share price (low) | $112.28 | $115.65 | $119.11 | $122.69 | $126.37 |
| Share price (high) | $187.13 | $192.74 | $198.52 | $204.48 | $210.61 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -26% / 23% | -13% / 12% | -8% / 9% | -5% / 8% | -4% / 7% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
- Low-cost Guyana and Permian assets drive high-return growth.
- Strong free cash flow funds a reliable, growing dividend.
- Disciplined capital allocation and balance-sheet strength.
- Earnings are highly sensitive to oil and gas prices.
- Long-term energy-transition demand risk.
- Limited revenue growth in a mature industry.
- Commodity-price volatility.
- Energy-transition and regulatory pressure.
- Capital-intensive project execution.
ExxonMobil is a cash-returning energy major suited to income-oriented investors comfortable with commodity cyclicality. The monitorable is free-cash-flow durability through the price cycle.
Analyst Ratings
What 30 Wall Street analysts covering XOM recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
XOM's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
XOM — frequently asked questions
Is XOM a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Exxon Mobil Corporation Neutral (45/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is XOM's rating on The Stocks School?
Exxon Mobil Corporation currently scores 45/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does XOM's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Exxon Mobil Corporation's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for XOM calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this XOM analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell XOM. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.