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COP

S&P 500
Neutral · 51/100

ConocoPhillips

Energy
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

$109.70

1.8%

Updated Today 7:15 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 14.9% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$131.26B

P/E

17.84x

Forward P/E (est.)

23.88x

ROE

11.3%

Revenue Growth

1.4%

EPS Growth

-25.3%

Profit Margin

12.6%

FCF Yield

14.2%

Debt / Equity

0.36x

ROIC

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

1.29x

Dividend Yield

3.0%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

Rating Score

51/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what COP's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. COP trades near $109.70, around its 50-day average ($119.42) and 200-day average ($105.08). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 43 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. COP's is $3.49 (~3.2% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month COP found buyers near $109.48 (support) and sellers near $126.00 (resistance); its 52-week range is $85.57–$135.87. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.0× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

ConocoPhillips (COP) is a large-cap company in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $131.26B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $51.82B in revenue and $7.99B in net profit.

Our model rates COP Neutral (51/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

10.6%

Revenue moved from $34.59B in 2021 to $51.82B in 2025, a 10.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (1.4%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

44.1%

Operating Margin

19.2%

Net Margin

15.4%

ROE

11.3%

ConocoPhillips keeps about 12.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 44.1% gross margin and 19.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 11.3%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$22.80B

Net Debt

$16.92B

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

0.36x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $22.80B of total debt against $5.88B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$19.80B

Free Cash Flow

$19.80B

FCF Margin

38.2%

In the latest year ConocoPhillips produced about $19.80B of operating cash flow and $19.80B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 14.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

17.84x

P/S

2.29x

P/B

1.74x

EV / EBITDA

COP trades at 17.8x trailing earnings (about 23.9x on estimated forward earnings), 2.3x sales, and 1.7x book value. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
17.8xCheap
Forward P/E
23.9xFair
P/S ratio
2.3xFair
Revenue growth
1.4%Weak
EPS growth
-25.3%Weak
Gross margin
44.1%Average
Net margin
12.6%Strong
ROE
11.3%Weak

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How COP stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Energy sector (21 S&P 500 companies), COP ranks #13 of 21 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (17.8x P/E vs. 18.9x median) with a lower return on equity (11.3% vs. 14.8%) and faster revenue growth (1.4% vs. -0.4%).

P/E vs sector

17.8x

median 18.9x

ROE vs sector

11.3%

median 14.8%

Growth vs sector

1.4%

median -0.4%

Sector rank

#13

of 21 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
COPThis stock17.8x1.4%Neutral· 51
EOG12.6x2.7%Favorable· 63
FANG180.5x18.1%Weak· 37
OXY10.9x-8.0%Favorable· 65
DVN21.4x-1.5%Neutral· 50
EQT9.6x50.8%Strong· 86
TPL49.1x15.3%Strong· 75
EXE6.4x170.6%Favorable· 68
Energy median18.9x-0.4%53/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianEOGFANGOXYDVNEQTTPLEXECOPP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 21 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$81.37$133.15

vs. $109.70 today · expected CAGR -6%4%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$53.38B$54.98B$56.63B$58.33B$60.08B
Net income$8.01B$8.25B$8.49B$8.75B$9.01B
EPS$6.57$6.77$6.97$7.18$7.40
Share price (low)$72.29$74.46$76.70$79.00$81.37
Share price (high)$118.30$121.85$125.50$129.27$133.15
CAGR (low–high)-34% / 8%-18% / 5%-11% / 5%-8% / 4%-6% / 4%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for COP:

  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~14.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
  • Pays a 3.0% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case

The case against COP:

  • Revenue growth is slow (1.4%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (1.4%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: ConocoPhillips is a large-cap energy business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 17.8x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (51/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.