COP
ConocoPhillips
$117.46
▲ 0.6%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
COP at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 51/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 14.9% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$127.59B
P/E
19.45x
Forward P/E (est.)
26.04x
ROE
11.3%
Revenue Growth
1.4%
EPS Growth
-25.3%
Profit Margin
12.6%
FCF Yield
14.2%
Debt / Equity
0.36x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.29x
Dividend Yield
3.0%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
51/100
ConocoPhillips (COP) is a large-cap company in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $127.59B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $51.82B in revenue and $7.99B in net profit.
Our model rates COP Neutral (51/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what COP's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. COP trades near $117.46, above its 50-day average ($116.54) and 200-day average ($105.70). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 25 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. COP's is $2.80 (~2.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month COP found buyers near $102.69 (support) and sellers near $121.52 (resistance); its 52-week range is $85.57–$135.87. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
10.6%
Revenue moved from $23.69B in 2016 to $51.82B in 2025, a 9.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (1.4%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
44.1%
Operating Margin
19.2%
Net Margin
15.4%
ROE
11.3%
ConocoPhillips keeps about 12.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 44.1% gross margin and 19.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 11.3%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$22.80B
Net Debt
$16.92B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.36x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $22.80B of total debt against $5.88B of cash.
Operating CF
$19.80B
Free Cash Flow
$19.80B
FCF Margin
38.2%
In the latest year ConocoPhillips produced about $19.80B of operating cash flow and $19.80B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 14.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.
Dividend yield
3.0%
Per share (latest FY)
$3.18
Total paid (latest FY)
$4.00B
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 20% of free cash flow
50% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 1 year in a row
payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
19.45x
P/S
2.29x
P/B
1.89x
EV / EBITDA
—
COP trades at 19.4x trailing earnings (about 26.0x on estimated forward earnings), 2.3x sales, and 1.9x book value. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where COP sits versus its Energy sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 47 Energy companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How COP stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Energy sector (57 S&P 500 companies), COP ranks #30 of 57 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (19.4x P/E vs. 19.4x median) with a lower return on equity (11.3% vs. 13.3%) and faster revenue growth (1.4% vs. 0.7%).
P/E vs sector
19.4x
median 19.4x
ROE vs sector
11.3%
median 13.3%
Growth vs sector
1.4%
median 0.7%
Sector rank
#30
of 57 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 57 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $117.46 today · expected CAGR -5% – 6%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $53.38B | $54.98B | $56.63B | $58.33B | $60.08B |
| Net income | $8.01B | $8.25B | $8.49B | $8.75B | $9.01B |
| EPS | $7.37 | $7.59 | $7.82 | $8.05 | $8.30 |
| Share price (low) | $81.08 | $83.51 | $86.02 | $88.60 | $91.26 |
| Share price (high) | $140.05 | $144.25 | $148.58 | $153.04 | $157.63 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -31% / 19% | -16% / 11% | -10% / 8% | -7% / 7% | -5% / 6% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for COP:
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~14.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
- Pays a 3.0% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against COP:
- Revenue growth is slow (1.4%), limiting the upside engine.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (1.4%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: ConocoPhillips is a large-cap energy business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 19.4x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (51/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 31 Wall Street analysts covering COP recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
COP's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
COP — frequently asked questions
Is COP a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates ConocoPhillips Neutral (51/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is COP's rating on The Stocks School?
ConocoPhillips currently scores 51/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does COP's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from ConocoPhillips's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for COP calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this COP analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell COP. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.