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ADSK

S&P 500
Favorable · 70/100

Autodesk

Information Technology
Application Software
Earnings Aug 27

$250.72

3.4%

Updated Today 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

ADSK at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Favorable · 70/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 34.3% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$43.78B

P/E

36.46x

Forward P/E (est.)

26.04x

ROE

49.4%

Revenue Growth

18.3%

EPS Growth

46.5%

Profit Margin

19.5%

FCF Yield

2.4%

Debt / Equity

0.82x

ROIC

22.0%

Interest Coverage

19.73x

Current Ratio

0.83x

Dividend Yield

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

3.3%

Rating Score

70/100

Business Overview
Research

Autodesk (ADSK) is a large-cap company in the Application Software industry, part of the Information Technology sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $43.78B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $7.21B in revenue and $1.12B in net profit.

Our model rates ADSK Favorable (70/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

Wide moat signalsMoat evidence score: 91/100

The filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.

Gross margin level100/100

90.8% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability68/100

±2.6 pts around 89.2% across 10 years

Revenue durability100/100

grew in 9 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 10 of 10 years

Return on invested capital85/100

22.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ADSK's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ADSK trades near $250.72, around its 50-day average ($225.27) and 200-day average ($264.01). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 52 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ADSK's is $8.21 (~3.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month ADSK found buyers near $185.50 (support) and sellers near $237.86 (resistance); its 52-week range is $185.50–$329.09. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.8× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

13.2%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $2.03B in 2017 to $7.21B in 2026, a 15.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 18.3% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.

Profitability
Research
4/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

91.0%

Operating Margin

21.9%

Net Margin

15.6%

ROE

49.4%

Autodesk keeps about 19.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 91.0% gross margin and 21.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 49.4% and return on invested capital about 22.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$2.50B

Net Debt

-$171.00M

Net cash position

Net Debt / EBITDA

-0.11x

Debt / Equity

0.82x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 19.7x, with a current ratio of 0.8x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $2.50B of total debt against $2.67B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$2.45B

Free Cash Flow

$2.41B

FCF Margin

33.4%

In the latest year Autodesk produced about $2.45B of operating cash flow and $2.41B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.4% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

36.46x

P/S

5.95x

P/B

22.15x

EV / EBITDA

ADSK trades at 36.5x trailing earnings (about 26.0x on estimated forward earnings), 5.9x sales, and 22.2x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$431.24

Current price

$250.72

+72% · Below fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$2.41B

Growth, years 1–5

18.3%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$34.56B
PV of terminal value$56.43B
Estimated equity value$90.99B
Shares outstanding211M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where ADSK sits versus its Information Technology sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
36.5xFair
Forward P/E
26.0xFair
P/S ratio
5.9xFair
Revenue growth
18.3%Average
EPS growth
46.5%Average
Gross margin
91.0%Strong
Net margin
19.5%Average
ROE
49.4%Strong

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 98 Information Technology companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How ADSK stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Information Technology sector (230 S&P 500 companies), ADSK ranks #22 of 230 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (36.5x P/E vs. 38.9x median) with a higher return on equity (49.4% vs. 17.5%) and faster revenue growth (18.3% vs. 17.7%).

P/E vs sector

36.5x

median 38.9x

ROE vs sector

49.4%

median 17.5%

Growth vs sector

18.3%

median 17.7%

Sector rank

#22

of 230 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
ADSKThis stock36.5x18.3%Favorable· 70
WDAY52.2x13.3%Neutral· 48
FICO31.9x22.6%Favorable· 70
INTU19.8x15.1%Strong· 77
SNPS102x39.5%Weak· 38
ADBE14.9x11.5%Strong· 78
DDOG29.5%Weak· 39
CDNS81.5x13.4%Neutral· 50
Information Technology median38.9x17.7%0/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianWDAYFICOINTUSNPSADBECDNSADSKP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 230 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $250.72 today · expected CAGR 6%17%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$8.50B$10.03B$11.84B$13.97B$16.49B
Net income$1.36B$1.61B$1.89B$2.24B$2.64B
EPS$7.79$9.19$10.85$12.80$15.11
Share price (low)$171.42$202.27$238.68$281.64$332.34
Share price (high)$280.50$330.99$390.56$460.87$543.82
CAGR (low–high)-32% / 12%-10% / 15%-2% / 16%3% / 16%6% / 17%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for ADSK:

  • Revenue is growing 18.3% a year, a sign of real demand.
  • High net margins (19.5%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (49.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (70/100).
Bear Case

The case against ADSK:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 36.5x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Autodesk is a large-cap information technology business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 36.5x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (70/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 42 Wall Street analysts covering ADSK recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.2 / 5 across 42 analysts
Strong Buy 13Buy 24Hold 5Sell 0Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

ADSK's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

ADSK — frequently asked questions

Is ADSK a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Autodesk Favorable (70/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is ADSK's rating on The Stocks School?

Autodesk currently scores 70/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does ADSK's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Autodesk's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for ADSK calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this ADSK analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell ADSK. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.