BALL
Ball Corporation
$63.31
▲ 0.3%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
BALL at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Favorable · 62/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 3.4% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$16.88B
P/E
17.9x
Forward P/E (est.)
12.78x
ROE
17.3%
Revenue Growth
13.7%
EPS Growth
106.5%
Profit Margin
6.9%
FCF Yield
6.9%
Debt / Equity
1.29x
ROIC
8.0%
Interest Coverage
4.9x
Current Ratio
1.12x
Dividend Yield
1.4%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
4.1%
Rating Score
62/100
Ball Corporation (BALL) is a large-cap company in the Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers industry, part of the Materials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $16.88B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $13.16B in revenue.
Our model rates BALL Favorable (62/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
9.7% average over the last 3 years
±1.5 pts around 8.3% across 8 years
grew in 5 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 7 of 10 years
8.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what BALL's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. BALL trades near $63.31, above its 50-day average ($57.97) and 200-day average ($55.85). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 88 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. BALL's is $1.46 (~2.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month BALL found buyers near $51.96 (support) and sellers near $63.40 (resistance); its 52-week range is $44.83–$68.29. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.6× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
-1.2%
Revenue moved from $9.06B in 2016 to $13.16B in 2025, a 4.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 13.7% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
19.2%
Operating Margin
10.7%
Net Margin
6.9%
ROE
17.3%
Ball Corporation keeps about 6.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 19.2% gross margin and 10.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 17.3% and return on invested capital about 8.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$7.68B
Net Debt
$6.95B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
1.29x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.3x, and operating profit covers interest about 4.9x, with a current ratio of 1.1x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $7.68B of total debt against $730.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.26B
Free Cash Flow
$788.00M
FCF Margin
6.0%
In the latest year Ball Corporation produced about $1.26B of operating cash flow and $788.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 6.9% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
1.4%
Per share (latest FY)
$0.80
Total paid (latest FY)
$220.00M
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 28% of free cash flow
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
17.9x
P/S
1.17x
P/B
2.85x
EV / EBITDA
—
BALL trades at 17.9x trailing earnings (about 12.8x on estimated forward earnings), 1.2x sales, and 2.8x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.1% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$87.31
Current price
$63.31
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$788.00M
Growth, years 1–5
13.7%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where BALL sits versus its Materials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 54 Materials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How BALL stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Materials sector (78 S&P 500 companies), BALL ranks #21 of 78 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (17.9x P/E vs. 22.7x median) with a higher return on equity (17.3% vs. 16.1%) and faster revenue growth (13.7% vs. 7.9%).
P/E vs sector
17.9x
median 22.7x
ROE vs sector
17.3%
median 16.1%
Growth vs sector
13.7%
median 7.9%
Sector rank
#21
of 78 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 78 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $63.31 today · expected CAGR 3% – 14%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $15.00B | $17.10B | $19.50B | $22.23B | $25.34B |
| Net income | $1.05B | $1.20B | $1.36B | $1.56B | $1.77B |
| EPS | $3.94 | $4.49 | $5.12 | $5.84 | $6.65 |
| Share price (low) | $43.34 | $49.40 | $56.32 | $64.20 | $73.19 |
| Share price (high) | $70.91 | $80.84 | $92.16 | $105.06 | $119.77 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -32% / 12% | -12% / 13% | -4% / 13% | 0% / 13% | 3% / 14% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for BALL:
- Revenue is growing 13.7% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Strong return on equity (17.3%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~6.9%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (62/100).
The case against BALL:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.3x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Ball Corporation is a large-cap materials business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 17.9x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (62/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 22 Wall Street analysts covering BALL recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+6 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
BALL's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
BALL — frequently asked questions
Is BALL a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Ball Corporation Favorable (62/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is BALL's rating on The Stocks School?
Ball Corporation currently scores 62/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does BALL's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Ball Corporation's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for BALL calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this BALL analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell BALL. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.