CF
CF Industries
$103.60
▲ 0.7%Updated Today 6:01 PM ET
▲ Up 2.6% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$15.81B
P/E
9.05x
Forward P/E (est.)
6.47x
ROE
35.2%
Revenue Growth
20.9%
EPS Growth
46.8%
Profit Margin
23.7%
FCF Yield
16.1%
Debt / Equity
0.66x
ROIC
21.0%
Interest Coverage
14.84x
Current Ratio
3.54x
Dividend Yield
1.9%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
-2.2%
Rating Score
84/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what CF's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. CF trades near $103.60, around its 50-day average ($118.95) and 200-day average ($98.85). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 31 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. CF's is $4.40 (~4.2% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month CF found buyers near $101.51 (support) and sellers near $127.73 (resistance); its 52-week range is $75.42–$141.96. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.0× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
CF Industries (CF) is a large-cap company in the Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals industry, part of the Materials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $15.81B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $7.08B in revenue.
Our model rates CF Strong (84/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
2.0%
Revenue moved from $6.54B in 2021 to $7.08B in 2025, a 2.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 20.9% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
38.5%
Operating Margin
32.5%
Net Margin
23.7%
ROE
35.2%
CF Industries keeps about 23.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 38.5% gross margin and 32.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 35.2% and return on invested capital about 21.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$3.22B
Net Debt
$2.93B
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.27x
Debt / Equity
0.66x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.7x, and operating profit covers interest about 14.8x, with a current ratio of 3.5x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $3.22B of total debt against $287.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$2.75B
Free Cash Flow
$1.80B
FCF Margin
25.4%
In the latest year CF Industries produced about $2.75B of operating cash flow and $1.80B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 16.1% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
9.05x
P/S
2.3x
P/B
2.43x
EV / EBITDA
5.99x
CF trades at 9.1x trailing earnings (about 6.5x on estimated forward earnings), 2.3x sales, and 2.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -2.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How CF stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Materials sector (26 S&P 500 companies), CF ranks #2 of 26 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (9.1x P/E vs. 27.7x median) with a higher return on equity (35.2% vs. 14.1%) and faster revenue growth (20.9% vs. 4.9%).
P/E vs sector
9.1x
median 27.7x
ROE vs sector
35.2%
median 14.1%
Growth vs sector
20.9%
median 4.9%
Sector rank
#2
of 26 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 26 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$143.52 – $258.34
vs. $103.60 today · expected CAGR 7% – 20%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.57B | $10.37B | $12.55B | $15.19B | $18.37B |
| Net income | $2.06B | $2.49B | $3.01B | $3.64B | $4.41B |
| EPS | $13.39 | $16.20 | $19.61 | $23.72 | $28.70 |
| Share price (low) | $66.95 | $81.01 | $98.03 | $118.61 | $143.52 |
| Share price (high) | $120.52 | $145.82 | $176.45 | $213.50 | $258.34 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -35% / 16% | -12% / 19% | -2% / 19% | 3% / 20% | 7% / 20% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for CF:
- Revenue is growing 20.9% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (23.7%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (35.2%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~16.1%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (84/100).
The case against CF:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: CF Industries is a large-cap materials business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 9.1x earnings, which our model scores Strong (84/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.