EXPD
Expeditors International
$163.15
▲ 1.1%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▲ Up 42.7% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$21.10B
P/E
25.26x
Forward P/E (est.)
24.57x
ROE
36.7%
Revenue Growth
1.1%
EPS Growth
2.8%
Profit Margin
7.5%
FCF Yield
3.5%
Debt / Equity
0x
ROIC
36.0%
Interest Coverage
219.28x
Current Ratio
1.79x
Dividend Yield
1.0%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
4.3%
Rating Score
50/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what EXPD's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. EXPD trades near $163.15, above its 50-day average ($154.29) and 200-day average ($144.19). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 53 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. EXPD's is $3.44 (~2.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month EXPD found buyers near $155.12 (support) and sellers near $168.52 (resistance); its 52-week range is $110.48–$168.52. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.1× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Expeditors International (EXPD) is a large-cap company in the Air Freight & Logistics industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $21.10B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $11.07B in revenue and $810.33M in net profit.
Our model rates EXPD Neutral (50/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
-9.5%
Revenue moved from $16.52B in 2021 to $11.07B in 2025, a -9.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (1.1%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
33.5%
Operating Margin
9.5%
Net Margin
7.3%
ROE
36.7%
Expeditors International keeps about 7.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 33.5% gross margin and 9.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 36.7% and return on invested capital about 36.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
—
Net Debt
—
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.0x, and operating profit covers interest about 219.3x, with a current ratio of 1.8x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns.
Operating CF
$1.01B
Free Cash Flow
$953.40M
FCF Margin
8.6%
In the latest year Expeditors International produced about $1.01B of operating cash flow and $953.40M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 3.5% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
25.26x
P/S
1.94x
P/B
8.34x
EV / EBITDA
18.15x
EXPD trades at 25.3x trailing earnings (about 24.6x on estimated forward earnings), 1.9x sales, and 8.3x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How EXPD stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (80 S&P 500 companies), EXPD ranks #45 of 80 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (25.3x P/E vs. 30x median) with a higher return on equity (36.7% vs. 24.7%) and slower revenue growth (1.1% vs. 5.0%).
P/E vs sector
25.3x
median 30x
ROE vs sector
36.7%
median 24.7%
Growth vs sector
1.1%
median 5.0%
Sector rank
#45
of 80 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 80 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$103.02 – $171.69
vs. $163.15 today · expected CAGR -9% – 1%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.40B | $11.74B | $12.10B | $12.46B | $12.83B |
| Net income | $798.08M | $822.02M | $846.68M | $872.08M | $898.24M |
| EPS | $6.10 | $6.28 | $6.47 | $6.67 | $6.87 |
| Share price (low) | $91.53 | $94.27 | $97.10 | $100.02 | $103.02 |
| Share price (high) | $152.55 | $157.12 | $161.84 | $166.69 | $171.69 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -44% / -6% | -24% / -2% | -16% / -0% | -12% / 1% | -9% / 1% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for EXPD:
- Strong return on equity (36.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.0x) lowers risk.
The case against EXPD:
- Revenue growth is slow (1.1%), limiting the upside engine.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (1.1%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Expeditors International is a large-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 25.3x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (50/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.