UPS
United Parcel Service
$107.24
▲ 2.3%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▲ Up 5.7% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$93.52B
P/E
16.98x
Forward P/E (est.)
18.83x
ROE
33.0%
Revenue Growth
-2.9%
EPS Growth
-9.8%
Profit Margin
5.9%
FCF Yield
12.6%
Debt / Equity
1.49x
ROIC
16.0%
Interest Coverage
10.02x
Current Ratio
1.21x
Dividend Yield
6.6%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.7%
Rating Score
45/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what UPS's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. UPS trades near $107.24, above its 50-day average ($104.04) and 200-day average ($99.54). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 46 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. UPS's is $3.22 (~3.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month UPS found buyers near $97.15 (support) and sellers near $111.22 (resistance); its 52-week range is $82.00–$122.41. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 2.3× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
United Parcel Service (UPS) is a large-cap company in the Air Freight & Logistics industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $93.52B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $88.66B in revenue and $5.57B in net profit.
Our model rates UPS Neutral (45/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
-2.3%
Revenue moved from $97.29B in 2021 to $88.66B in 2025, a -2.3% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 2.9% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
83.1%
Operating Margin
8.9%
Net Margin
6.3%
ROE
33.0%
United Parcel Service keeps about 5.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 83.1% gross margin and 8.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 33.0% and return on invested capital about 16.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$23.59B
Net Debt
$17.78B
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.26x
Debt / Equity
1.49x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.5x, and operating profit covers interest about 10.0x, with a current ratio of 1.2x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $23.59B of total debt against $5.80B of cash.
Operating CF
$8.45B
Free Cash Flow
$4.76B
FCF Margin
5.4%
In the latest year United Parcel Service produced about $8.45B of operating cash flow and $4.76B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 12.6% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
16.98x
P/S
1.05x
P/B
4.94x
EV / EBITDA
9.98x
UPS trades at 17.0x trailing earnings (about 18.8x on estimated forward earnings), 1.1x sales, and 4.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.7% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How UPS stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (80 S&P 500 companies), UPS ranks #59 of 80 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (17x P/E vs. 30x median) with a higher return on equity (33.0% vs. 24.7%) and slower revenue growth (-2.9% vs. 5.0%).
P/E vs sector
17x
median 30x
ROE vs sector
33.0%
median 24.7%
Growth vs sector
-2.9%
median 5.0%
Sector rank
#59
of 80 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 80 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$86.38 – $146.85
vs. $107.24 today · expected CAGR -4% – 6%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $91.32B | $94.06B | $96.88B | $99.79B | $102.78B |
| Net income | $5.48B | $5.64B | $5.81B | $5.99B | $6.17B |
| EPS | $7.67 | $7.91 | $8.14 | $8.39 | $8.64 |
| Share price (low) | $76.75 | $79.05 | $81.42 | $83.86 | $86.38 |
| Share price (high) | $130.47 | $134.39 | $138.42 | $142.57 | $146.85 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -28% / 22% | -14% / 12% | -9% / 9% | -6% / 7% | -4% / 6% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for UPS:
- Strong return on equity (33.0%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~12.6%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Pays a 6.6% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against UPS:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-2.9%), limiting the upside engine.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.5x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-2.9%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: United Parcel Service is a large-cap industrials business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 17.0x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (45/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.