EXPE
Expedia Group
$309.44
▲ 0.9%Updated Today 11:30 AM ET
EXPE at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 54/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 48.3% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$32.25B
P/E
25.44x
Forward P/E (est.)
18.96x
ROE
147.6%
Revenue Growth
10.0%
EPS Growth
34.2%
Profit Margin
9.8%
FCF Yield
4.1%
Debt / Equity
4.8x
ROIC
29.0%
Interest Coverage
7.64x
Current Ratio
0.73x
Dividend Yield
0.8%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
-0.6%
Rating Score
54/100
Expedia Group (EXPE) is a large-cap company in the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $32.25B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $14.73B in revenue and $1.29B in net profit.
Our model rates EXPE Neutral (54/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
10.1% average over the last 3 years
±19.1 pts around 1.1% across 9 years
grew in 7 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
positive in 8 of 9 years
29.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what EXPE's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. EXPE trades near $309.44, above its 50-day average ($236.87) and 200-day average ($242.42). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 72 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. EXPE's is $11.02 (~3.6% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month EXPE found buyers near $216.18 (support) and sellers near $271.59 (resistance); its 52-week range is $169.23–$303.80. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.7× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
14.4%
Revenue moved from $10.06B in 2017 to $14.73B in 2025, a 4.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 10.0% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
90.3%
Operating Margin
12.7%
Net Margin
8.8%
ROE
147.6%
Expedia Group keeps about 9.8% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 90.3% gross margin and 12.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 147.6% and return on invested capital about 29.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$4.47B
Net Debt
-$1.07B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.57x
Debt / Equity
4.8x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 4.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 7.6x, with a current ratio of 0.7x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $4.47B of total debt against $5.54B of cash.
Operating CF
$3.88B
Free Cash Flow
$3.11B
FCF Margin
21.1%
In the latest year Expedia Group produced about $3.88B of operating cash flow and $3.11B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 4.1% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.
Dividend yield
0.8%
Per share (latest FY)
$1.60
Total paid (latest FY)
$200.00M
History on record
4 years
dividend uses 6% of free cash flow
15% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 1 year in a row
payout was cut at least once in the last 4 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
25.44x
P/S
1.98x
P/B
35.02x
EV / EBITDA
—
EXPE trades at 25.4x trailing earnings (about 19.0x on estimated forward earnings), 2.0x sales, and 35.0x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -0.6% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$653.28
Current price
$309.44
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$3.11B
Growth, years 1–5
10.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where EXPE sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How EXPE stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), EXPE ranks #37 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (25.4x P/E vs. 25.8x median) with a higher return on equity (147.6% vs. 26.2%) and faster revenue growth (10.0% vs. 6.8%).
P/E vs sector
25.4x
median 25.8x
ROE vs sector
147.6%
median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
10.0%
median 6.8%
Sector rank
#37
of 158 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $309.44 today · expected CAGR -0% – 11%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.21B | $17.83B | $19.61B | $21.57B | $23.73B |
| Net income | $1.46B | $1.60B | $1.76B | $1.94B | $2.14B |
| EPS | $14.00 | $15.40 | $16.93 | $18.63 | $20.49 |
| Share price (low) | $209.93 | $230.93 | $254.02 | $279.42 | $307.36 |
| Share price (high) | $349.89 | $384.88 | $423.37 | $465.70 | $512.27 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -32% / 13% | -14% / 12% | -6% / 11% | -3% / 11% | -0% / 11% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for EXPE:
- Revenue is growing 10.0% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Strong return on equity (147.6%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~4.1%) funds buybacks and dividends.
The case against EXPE:
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 4.8x) adds financial risk.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 4.8x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Expedia Group is a large-cap consumer discretionary business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 25.4x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (54/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 44 Wall Street analysts covering EXPE recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
EXPE's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
EXPE — frequently asked questions
Is EXPE a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Expedia Group Neutral (54/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is EXPE's rating on The Stocks School?
Expedia Group currently scores 54/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does EXPE's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Expedia Group's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for EXPE calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this EXPE analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell EXPE. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.