GGG
Graco Inc
$75.28
▲ 0.1%Updated Today 12:11 PM ET
GGG at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Favorable · 66/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 15.2% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$12.49B
P/E
24.19x
Forward P/E (est.)
22.36x
ROE
19.7%
Revenue Growth
4.6%
EPS Growth
8.2%
Profit Margin
23.0%
FCF Yield
4.6%
Debt / Equity
0.01x
ROIC
18.0%
Interest Coverage
120.36x
Current Ratio
3.56x
Dividend Yield
1.6%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.7%
Rating Score
66/100
Graco Inc (GGG) is a large-cap company in the Machinery industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $12.49B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $2.24B in revenue and $521.84M in net profit.
Our model rates GGG Favorable (66/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what GGG's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. GGG trades near $75.28, below its 50-day average ($76.41) and 200-day average ($83.16). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 54 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. GGG's is $1.39 (~1.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month GGG found buyers near $73.15 (support) and sellers near $77.12 (resistance); its 52-week range is $73.15–$95.69. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.2× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
3.0%
Revenue moved from $1.33B in 2016 to $2.24B in 2025, a 6.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.6%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
52.5%
Operating Margin
27.9%
Net Margin
23.3%
ROE
19.7%
Graco Inc keeps about 23.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 52.5% gross margin and 27.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 19.7% and return on invested capital about 18.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$1.62M
Net Debt
-$710.55M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-1.14x
Debt / Equity
0.01x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.0x, and operating profit covers interest about 120.4x, with a current ratio of 3.6x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $1.62M of total debt against $712.17M of cash.
Operating CF
$683.59M
Free Cash Flow
$637.92M
FCF Margin
28.5%
In the latest year Graco Inc produced about $683.59M of operating cash flow and $637.92M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 4.6% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
24.19x
P/S
5.58x
P/B
5.21x
EV / EBITDA
16.08x
GGG trades at 24.2x trailing earnings (about 22.4x on estimated forward earnings), 5.6x sales, and 5.2x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.7% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$68.31
Current price
$75.28
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$637.92M
Growth, years 1–5
4.6%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where GGG sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 87 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How GGG stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (165 S&P 500 companies), GGG ranks #9 of 165 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (24.2x P/E vs. 32x median) with a lower return on equity (19.7% vs. 19.7%) and slower revenue growth (4.6% vs. 5.2%).
P/E vs sector
24.2x
median 32x
ROE vs sector
19.7%
median 19.7%
Growth vs sector
4.6%
median 5.2%
Sector rank
#9
of 165 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 165 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $75.28 today · expected CAGR -6% – 5%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.35B | $2.47B | $2.59B | $2.72B | $2.85B |
| Net income | $540.14M | $567.15M | $595.50M | $625.28M | $656.54M |
| EPS | $3.25 | $3.42 | $3.59 | $3.77 | $3.96 |
| Share price (low) | $45.56 | $47.84 | $50.23 | $52.74 | $55.38 |
| Share price (high) | $78.11 | $82.01 | $86.11 | $90.42 | $94.94 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -39% / 4% | -20% / 4% | -13% / 5% | -9% / 5% | -6% / 5% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for GGG:
- High net margins (23.0%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (19.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~4.6%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.0x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (66/100).
The case against GGG:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Graco Inc is a large-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 24.2x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (66/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
GGG — frequently asked questions
Is GGG a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Graco Inc Favorable (66/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is GGG's rating on The Stocks School?
Graco Inc currently scores 66/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does GGG's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Graco Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for GGG calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this GGG analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell GGG. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.