MLI
Mueller Industries Inc
$57.16
▲ 1.2%Updated Today 12:11 PM ET
MLI at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Strong · 82/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 37.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$12.49B
P/E
14.76x
Forward P/E (est.)
10.58x
ROE
27.0%
Revenue Growth
11.5%
EPS Growth
39.5%
Profit Margin
19.4%
FCF Yield
10.4%
Debt / Equity
0x
ROIC
23.0%
Interest Coverage
785.05x
Current Ratio
5.35x
Dividend Yield
1.2%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.3%
Rating Score
82/100
Mueller Industries Inc (MLI) is a large-cap company in the Machinery industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $12.49B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $4.18B in revenue and $765.19M in net profit.
Our model rates MLI Strong (82/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what MLI's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. MLI trades near $57.16, below its 50-day average ($66.63) and 200-day average ($59.18). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 13 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. MLI's is $2.55 (~4.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month MLI found buyers near $55.53 (support) and sellers near $70.95 (resistance); its 52-week range is $40.69–$70.95. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.4× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
2.6%
Revenue moved from $2.06B in 2016 to $4.18B in 2025, a 8.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 11.5% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
29.7%
Operating Margin
22.9%
Net Margin
18.3%
ROE
27.0%
Mueller Industries Inc keeps about 19.4% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 29.7% gross margin and 22.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 27.0% and return on invested capital about 23.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$2.74M
Net Debt
-$1.38B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-1.44x
Debt / Equity
0x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.0x, and operating profit covers interest about 785.0x, with a current ratio of 5.3x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $2.74M of total debt against $1.38B of cash.
Operating CF
$755.44M
Free Cash Flow
$686.64M
FCF Margin
16.4%
In the latest year Mueller Industries Inc produced about $755.44M of operating cash flow and $686.64M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 10.4% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
14.76x
P/S
2.99x
P/B
4.07x
EV / EBITDA
10.82x
MLI trades at 14.8x trailing earnings (about 10.6x on estimated forward earnings), 3.0x sales, and 4.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$162.52
Current price
$57.16
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$686.64M
Growth, years 1–5
11.5%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where MLI sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 87 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How MLI stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (165 S&P 500 companies), MLI ranks #1 of 165 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (14.8x P/E vs. 32x median) with a higher return on equity (27.0% vs. 19.7%) and faster revenue growth (11.5% vs. 5.2%).
P/E vs sector
14.8x
median 32x
ROE vs sector
27.0%
median 19.7%
Growth vs sector
11.5%
median 5.2%
Sector rank
#1
of 165 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 165 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $57.16 today · expected CAGR 14% – 26%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.68B | $5.24B | $5.87B | $6.58B | $7.36B |
| Net income | $842.40M | $943.48M | $1.06B | $1.18B | $1.33B |
| EPS | $7.62 | $8.53 | $9.56 | $10.70 | $11.99 |
| Share price (low) | $68.57 | $76.80 | $86.01 | $96.33 | $107.89 |
| Share price (high) | $114.28 | $127.99 | $143.35 | $160.55 | $179.82 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 20% / 100% | 16% / 50% | 15% / 36% | 14% / 29% | 14% / 26% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for MLI:
- Revenue is growing 11.5% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (19.4%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (27.0%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~10.4%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.0x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (82/100).
The case against MLI:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Mueller Industries Inc is a large-cap industrials business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 14.8x earnings, which our model scores Strong (82/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
MLI — frequently asked questions
Is MLI a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Mueller Industries Inc Strong (82/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is MLI's rating on The Stocks School?
Mueller Industries Inc currently scores 82/100 (Strong) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does MLI's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Mueller Industries Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for MLI calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this MLI analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MLI. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.