MFG
Mizuho Financial Group Inc
$10.31
▲ 3.7%Updated Today 12:11 PM ET
MFG at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Favorable · 68/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 82.9% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$131.98B
P/E
15.78x
Forward P/E (est.)
11.27x
ROE
11.3%
Revenue Growth
153.2%
EPS Growth
43.8%
Profit Margin
19.4%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
5.99x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.8%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
68/100
Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG) is a large-cap company in the Banking industry, part of the Financials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $131.98B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $8.79T in revenue and $1.16T in net profit.
Our model rates MFG Favorable (68/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what MFG's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. MFG trades near $10.31, above its 50-day average ($9.18) and 200-day average ($8.04). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 63 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. MFG's is $0.26 (~2.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month MFG found buyers near $9.24 (support) and sellers near $10.39 (resistance); its 52-week range is $5.39–$10.39. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.4× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
42.8%
Revenue moved from $2.88T in 2017 to $8.79T in 2026, a 13.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 153.2% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
28.3%
Net Margin
13.2%
ROE
11.3%
Mizuho Financial Group Inc keeps about 19.4% of each sales dollar as net profit. Return on equity is 11.3%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$20.84T
Net Debt
-$26.99T
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
5.99x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 6.0x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $20.84T of total debt against $47.83T of cash.
Operating CF
-$1.78T
Free Cash Flow
-$2.09T
FCF Margin
-23.7%
In the latest year Mizuho Financial Group Inc produced about -$1.78T of operating cash flow but negative free cash flow as it invested heavily. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
15.78x
P/S
1.79x
P/B
1.34x
EV / EBITDA
—
MFG trades at 15.8x trailing earnings (about 11.3x on estimated forward earnings), 1.8x sales, and 1.3x book value. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where MFG sits versus its Financials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 95 Financials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How MFG stacks up against its Financials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Financials sector (181 S&P 500 companies), MFG ranks #36 of 181 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (15.8x P/E vs. 15.3x median) with a lower return on equity (11.3% vs. 13.6%) and faster revenue growth (153.2% vs. 15.5%).
P/E vs sector
15.8x
median 15.3x
ROE vs sector
11.3%
median 13.6%
Growth vs sector
153.2%
median 15.5%
Sector rank
#36
of 181 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Financials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 181 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $10.31 today · expected CAGR 391% – 439%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.75T | $18.49T | $26.81T | $38.88T | $56.37T |
| Net income | $1.66T | $2.40T | $3.49T | $5.05T | $7.33T |
| EPS | $665.81 | $965.42 | $1,399.86 | $2,029.80 | $2,943.21 |
| Share price (low) | $6,658.09 | $9,654.23 | $13,998.63 | $20,298.02 | $29,432.12 |
| Share price (high) | $10,652.94 | $15,446.77 | $22,397.81 | $32,476.82 | $47,091.40 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 64479% / 103226% | 2960% / 3771% | 1007% / 1195% | 566% / 649% | 391% / 439% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for MFG:
- Revenue is growing 153.2% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (19.4%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (68/100).
The case against MFG:
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 6.0x) adds financial risk.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 6.0x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Mizuho Financial Group Inc is a large-cap financials business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 15.8x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (68/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
MFG — frequently asked questions
Is MFG a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Mizuho Financial Group Inc Favorable (68/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is MFG's rating on The Stocks School?
Mizuho Financial Group Inc currently scores 68/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does MFG's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Mizuho Financial Group Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for MFG calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this MFG analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MFG. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.