AFG
American Financial Group Inc
$141.71
▼ 0.7%Updated Today 12:11 PM ET
AFG at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 57/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 11.3% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$11.86B
P/E
13.47x
Forward P/E (est.)
12.15x
ROE
18.8%
Revenue Growth
-1.0%
EPS Growth
10.9%
Profit Margin
10.8%
FCF Yield
7.8%
Debt / Equity
0.38x
ROIC
13.0%
Interest Coverage
13.41x
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
57/100
American Financial Group Inc (AFG) is a large-cap company in the Insurance industry, part of the Financials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $11.86B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $8.17B in revenue and $842.00M in net profit.
Our model rates AFG Neutral (57/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what AFG's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. AFG trades near $141.71, above its 50-day average ($133.78) and 200-day average ($133.91). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 71 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. AFG's is $2.86 (~2.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month AFG found buyers near $129.65 (support) and sellers near $143.33 (resistance); its 52-week range is $122.11–$150.02. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.1× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
5.7%
Revenue moved from $6.50B in 2016 to $8.17B in 2025, a 2.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 1.0% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
13.1%
Net Margin
10.3%
ROE
18.8%
American Financial Group Inc keeps about 10.8% of each sales dollar as net profit. Return on equity is 18.8% and return on invested capital about 13.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$1.82B
Net Debt
$467.00M
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.44x
Debt / Equity
0.38x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, and operating profit covers interest about 13.4x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $1.82B of total debt against $1.35B of cash.
Operating CF
$1.53B
Free Cash Flow
$1.53B
FCF Margin
18.8%
In the latest year American Financial Group Inc produced about $1.53B of operating cash flow and $1.53B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 7.8% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
13.47x
P/S
1.45x
P/B
2.37x
EV / EBITDA
10.64x
AFG trades at 13.5x trailing earnings (about 12.1x on estimated forward earnings), 1.4x sales, and 2.4x book value. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
Where AFG sits versus its Financials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 95 Financials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How AFG stacks up against its Financials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Financials sector (181 S&P 500 companies), AFG ranks #60 of 181 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (13.5x P/E vs. 15.3x median) with a higher return on equity (18.8% vs. 13.6%) and slower revenue growth (-1.0% vs. 15.5%).
P/E vs sector
13.5x
median 15.3x
ROE vs sector
18.8%
median 13.6%
Growth vs sector
-1.0%
median 15.5%
Sector rank
#60
of 181 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Financials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 181 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $141.71 today · expected CAGR -8% – 1%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.42B | $8.67B | $8.93B | $9.20B | $9.48B |
| Net income | $841.92M | $867.18M | $893.20M | $919.99M | $947.59M |
| EPS | $10.13 | $10.44 | $10.75 | $11.07 | $11.40 |
| Share price (low) | $81.07 | $83.50 | $86.00 | $88.58 | $91.24 |
| Share price (high) | $131.73 | $135.68 | $139.75 | $143.95 | $148.26 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -43% / -7% | -23% / -2% | -15% / -0% | -11% / 0% | -8% / 1% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for AFG:
- Strong return on equity (18.8%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~7.8%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
- Pays a 2.5% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against AFG:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-1.0%), limiting the upside engine.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-1.0%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: American Financial Group Inc is a large-cap financials business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 13.5x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (57/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
AFG — frequently asked questions
Is AFG a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates American Financial Group Inc Neutral (57/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is AFG's rating on The Stocks School?
American Financial Group Inc currently scores 57/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does AFG's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from American Financial Group Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for AFG calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this AFG analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell AFG. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.