MOS
Mosaic Company (The)
$22.00
▼ 3.9%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▼ Down 37.2% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$7.28B
P/E
166.63x
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
0.4%
Revenue Growth
12.3%
EPS Growth
-88.9%
Profit Margin
0.4%
FCF Yield
29.9%
Debt / Equity
0.42x
ROIC
4.0%
Interest Coverage
3.4x
Current Ratio
1.25x
Dividend Yield
3.9%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
32/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what MOS's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. MOS trades near $22.00, below its 50-day average ($22.98) and 200-day average ($26.77). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 45 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. MOS's is $1.13 (~5.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month MOS found buyers near $19.80 (support) and sellers near $24.50 (resistance); its 52-week range is $19.80–$38.23. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 2.6× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) is a mid-cap company in the Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals industry, part of the Materials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $7.28B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $12.05B in revenue and $540.70M in net profit.
Our model rates MOS Weak (32/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
-0.6%
Revenue moved from $12.36B in 2021 to $12.05B in 2025, a -0.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 12.3% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
15.8%
Operating Margin
6.8%
Net Margin
4.5%
ROE
0.4%
Mosaic Company (The) keeps about 0.4% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 15.8% gross margin and 6.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 0.4% and return on invested capital about 4.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$3.83B
Net Debt
$3.55B
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.32x
Debt / Equity
0.42x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, and operating profit covers interest about 3.4x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $3.83B of total debt against $281.80M of cash.
Operating CF
$824.80M
Free Cash Flow
-$534.60M
FCF Margin
-4.4%
In the latest year Mosaic Company (The) produced about $824.80M of operating cash flow but negative free cash flow as it invested heavily. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 29.9% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
166.63x
P/S
0.59x
P/B
0.67x
EV / EBITDA
5.58x
MOS trades at 166.6x trailing earnings, 0.6x sales, and 0.7x book value. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How MOS stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Materials sector (26 S&P 500 companies), MOS ranks #21 of 26 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (166.6x P/E vs. 27.7x median) with a lower return on equity (0.4% vs. 14.1%) and faster revenue growth (12.3% vs. 4.9%).
P/E vs sector
166.6x
median 27.7x
ROE vs sector
0.4%
median 14.1%
Growth vs sector
12.3%
median 4.9%
Sector rank
#21
of 26 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 26 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$267.30 – $446.40
vs. $22.00 today · expected CAGR 65% – 83%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.50B | $15.12B | $16.93B | $18.96B | $21.24B |
| Net income | $539.95M | $604.74M | $677.31M | $758.59M | $849.62M |
| EPS | $1.70 | $1.90 | $2.13 | $2.39 | $2.67 |
| Share price (low) | $169.88 | $190.26 | $213.09 | $238.66 | $267.30 |
| Share price (high) | $283.69 | $317.74 | $355.87 | $398.57 | $446.40 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 672% / 1190% | 194% / 280% | 113% / 153% | 81% / 106% | 65% / 83% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for MOS:
- Revenue is growing 12.3% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~29.9%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
- Pays a 3.9% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against MOS:
- Thin net margins (0.4%) leave little room for error.
- A rich 166.6x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (32/100).
Valuation risk — at 166.6x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Margin risk — thin profitability (0.4%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Mosaic Company (The) is a mid-cap materials business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 166.6x earnings, which our model scores Weak (32/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.