NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
$210.69
▲ 3.0%Updated Jun 20, 4:55 AM ET
▲ Up 44.8% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$5.10T
P/E
32.21x
Forward P/E (est.)
23.01x
ROE
111.7%
Revenue Growth
70.7%
EPS Growth
110.3%
Profit Margin
63.0%
FCF Yield
4.0%
Debt / Equity
0.05x
ROIC
51.0%
Interest Coverage
507.34x
Current Ratio
3.44x
Dividend Yield
0.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
7.0%
Rating Score
87/100
Institutional-style technical read — sample, educational only
Uptrend — price ($210.69) is above the 50-day ($209.31) and 200-day ($189.90) averages.
Setup type
Range / mean-reversion
Holding time
1–6 weeks
Risk level
High
Risk / reward
1 : 2.3
Trade levels
Entry zone
$199.34 – $210.69
Stop loss
$195.09
Target 1
$227.69
Target 2
$240.44
Target 3
$253.19
Position sizing: Starter position only; risk ≤ 0.5% of capital and respect the wider stop.
Technical analysis
RSI(14) is neutral (50); the MACD histogram is negative (downward momentum). Uptrend — price ($210.69) is above the 50-day ($209.31) and 200-day ($189.90) averages. ATR(14) is $8.50 (~4.0% of price), which sets the stop distance. Recent support sits near $199.34 and resistance near $232.28; the 52-week range is $142.03–$236.54.
Fundamental analysis
Revenue is growing at 70.7%, net margin near 63.0%, ROE roughly 111.7%; shares trade at 32x earnings. Quality score: 87/100.
Options flow
Live options-flow data needs a paid feed, so it isn't shown. For realized volatility, ATR of $8.50 (~4.0%/day) is the range to size stops and any option strikes around.
Volume analysis
The latest session traded 1.4× the 20-day average volume — above average, confirming participation.
Catalysts
The next quarterly earnings report is the main near-term catalyst. Technically, watch for a break and hold above $232.28 or a loss of $199.34.
Bullish scenario
The CUDA software ecosystem locks in developers and is hard to replicate.
Bearish scenario
Revenue is highly concentrated in a handful of hyperscaler customers building their own silicon.
Invalidation
A daily close below $195.09 invalidates this setup read.
Probability-based scenario using sample data — not a recommendation or a guarantee of profit. Prioritize capital preservation, use stops, and size positions for risk. Past performance does not predict future results.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what NVDA's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. NVDA trades near $210.69, above its 50-day average ($209.31) and 200-day average ($189.90). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 50 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. NVDA's is $8.50 (~4.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month NVDA found buyers near $199.34 (support) and sellers near $232.28 (resistance); its 52-week range is $142.03–$236.54. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.4× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
NVIDIA sits at the center of the AI buildout, supplying the accelerators, networking, and CUDA software that train and serve large models. Explosive data-center demand has driven revenue and margins to extraordinary levels, with the CUDA ecosystem forming a deep competitive moat.
4Y CAGR
68.3%
Revenue grew from $26.91B in 2022 to $215.94B in 2026, a 68.3% CAGR. The most recent year grew about 70.7% year over year, a healthy pace pointing to durable demand.
Gross Margin
71.1%
Operating Margin
60.4%
Net Margin
55.6%
ROE
111.7%
Gross margin runs near 74.2% with operating margin around 64.0% and net margin near 63.0%. Return on equity of roughly 111.7% indicates strong capital efficiency, and the margin profile has trended high and stable over the period shown.
Total Debt
$8.47B
Net Debt
-$4.77B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.04x
Debt / Equity
0.05x
Interest-bearing debt is about 0.3% of market capitalization and the debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 0.05x. Leverage is low, leaving the balance sheet well within comfortable limits.
Operating CF
$102.72B
Free Cash Flow
$96.68B
FCF Margin
44.8%
Operating cash flow comfortably exceeds reported net income, and free cash flow yield is around 4.0%. Cash generation is robust and supports buybacks, dividends, and reinvestment.
P/E
32.21x
P/S
23.44x
P/B
29.26x
EV / EBITDA
37.64x
Shares trade at roughly 32x trailing earnings (34x forward), 23.4x sales, and 45x EV/EBITDA. That is a full but defensible multiple for a quality franchise. Our internal rating is Strong.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How NVDA stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Information Technology sector (72 S&P 500 companies), NVDA ranks #2 of 72 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (32.2x P/E vs. 35.6x median) with a higher return on equity (111.7% vs. 25.6%) and faster revenue growth (70.7% vs. 17.4%).
P/E vs sector
32.2x
median 35.6x
ROE vs sector
111.7%
median 25.6%
Growth vs sector
70.7%
median 17.4%
Sector rank
#2
of 72 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 72 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$543.35 – $915.11
vs. $210.69 today · expected CAGR 21% – 34%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $313.11B | $454.01B | $658.31B | $954.56B | $1.38T |
| Net income | $156.56B | $227.00B | $329.16B | $477.28B | $692.05B |
| EPS | $6.47 | $9.38 | $13.60 | $19.72 | $28.60 |
| Share price (low) | $122.92 | $178.23 | $258.43 | $374.72 | $543.35 |
| Share price (high) | $207.01 | $300.17 | $435.25 | $631.11 | $915.11 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -42% / -2% | -8% / 19% | 7% / 27% | 15% / 32% | 21% / 34% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
- The CUDA software ecosystem locks in developers and is hard to replicate.
- Data-center demand from hyperscalers and enterprises remains supply-constrained.
- ~75% gross margins and rapid product cadence (Blackwell and beyond) sustain leadership.
- Revenue is highly concentrated in a handful of hyperscaler customers building their own silicon.
- AI capex is cyclical; any digestion phase would hit growth hard.
- Extreme expectations are embedded after a historic run.
- Customer concentration and in-house ASIC competition.
- Export controls on advanced chips to China.
- A sharp normalization in AI infrastructure spending.
NVIDIA is the purest AI-infrastructure play with a genuine software moat, best suited to growth investors who can tolerate volatility. The key monitorable is data-center demand durability versus customer in-sourcing.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.