PCAR
Paccar
$132.12
▲ 0.0%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
PCAR at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 34/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 31.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$62.89B
P/E
28.2x
Forward P/E (est.)
39.56x
ROE
12.8%
Revenue Growth
-14.2%
EPS Growth
-28.7%
Profit Margin
8.9%
FCF Yield
5.2%
Debt / Equity
0.81x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.2%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.0%
Rating Score
34/100
Paccar (PCAR) is a large-cap company in the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $62.89B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $28.44B in revenue and $2.38B in net profit.
Our model rates PCAR Weak (34/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what PCAR's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. PCAR trades near $132.12, above its 50-day average ($116.50) and 200-day average ($112.91). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 54 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. PCAR's is $3.09 (~2.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month PCAR found buyers near $113.94 (support) and sellers near $123.03 (resistance); its 52-week range is $92.25–$131.88. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.8× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
4.9%
Revenue moved from $17.03B in 2016 to $28.44B in 2025, a 5.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 14.2% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
19.9%
Operating Margin
12.7%
Net Margin
8.4%
ROE
12.8%
Paccar keeps about 8.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 19.9% gross margin and 12.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 12.8%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
—
Net Debt
—
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.81x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.8x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses.
Operating CF
$4.42B
Free Cash Flow
$3.67B
FCF Margin
12.9%
In the latest year Paccar produced about $4.42B of operating cash flow and $3.67B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
1.2%
Per share (latest FY)
$2.72
Total paid (latest FY)
$2.27B
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 62% of free cash flow
95% of net income paid out
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
28.2x
P/S
2.25x
P/B
3.26x
EV / EBITDA
—
PCAR trades at 28.2x trailing earnings (about 39.6x on estimated forward earnings), 2.2x sales, and 3.3x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$71.62
Current price
$132.12
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$3.67B
Growth, years 1–5
-5.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where PCAR sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How PCAR stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), PCAR ranks #125 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (28.2x P/E vs. 32x median) with a lower return on equity (12.8% vs. 18.1%) and slower revenue growth (-14.2% vs. 6.0%).
P/E vs sector
28.2x
median 32x
ROE vs sector
12.8%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
-14.2%
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#125
of 273 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $132.12 today · expected CAGR -7% – 3%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29.30B | $30.18B | $31.08B | $32.01B | $32.98B |
| Net income | $2.34B | $2.41B | $2.49B | $2.56B | $2.64B |
| EPS | $4.92 | $5.07 | $5.22 | $5.38 | $5.54 |
| Share price (low) | $83.71 | $86.22 | $88.80 | $91.47 | $94.21 |
| Share price (high) | $137.87 | $142.01 | $146.27 | $150.65 | $155.17 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -37% / 4% | -19% / 4% | -12% / 3% | -9% / 3% | -7% / 3% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for PCAR:
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against PCAR:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-14.2%), limiting the upside engine.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (34/100).
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-14.2%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Paccar is a large-cap industrials business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 28.2x earnings, which our model scores Weak (34/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 26 Wall Street analysts covering PCAR recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
PCAR's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
PCAR — frequently asked questions
Is PCAR a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Paccar Weak (34/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is PCAR's rating on The Stocks School?
Paccar currently scores 34/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does PCAR's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Paccar's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for PCAR calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this PCAR analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell PCAR. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.