PCAR
Paccar
$120.12
▲ 1.0%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▲ Up 31.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$62.60B
P/E
25.39x
Forward P/E (est.)
35.62x
ROE
12.8%
Revenue Growth
-14.2%
EPS Growth
-28.7%
Profit Margin
8.9%
FCF Yield
5.2%
Debt / Equity
0.81x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.2%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.0%
Rating Score
34/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what PCAR's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. PCAR trades near $120.12, above its 50-day average ($117.79) and 200-day average ($111.90). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 58 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. PCAR's is $3.61 (~3.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month PCAR found buyers near $106.77 (support) and sellers near $122.58 (resistance); its 52-week range is $90.05–$131.88. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.8× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Paccar (PCAR) is a large-cap company in the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $62.60B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $28.44B in revenue and $2.38B in net profit.
Our model rates PCAR Weak (34/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
4.9%
Revenue moved from $23.52B in 2021 to $28.44B in 2025, a 4.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 14.2% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
19.9%
Operating Margin
12.7%
Net Margin
8.4%
ROE
12.8%
Paccar keeps about 8.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 19.9% gross margin and 12.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 12.8%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
—
Net Debt
—
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.81x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.8x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses.
Operating CF
$4.42B
Free Cash Flow
$3.67B
FCF Margin
12.9%
In the latest year Paccar produced about $4.42B of operating cash flow and $3.67B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
25.39x
P/S
2.25x
P/B
2.93x
EV / EBITDA
—
PCAR trades at 25.4x trailing earnings (about 35.6x on estimated forward earnings), 2.2x sales, and 2.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How PCAR stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (80 S&P 500 companies), PCAR ranks #73 of 80 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (25.4x P/E vs. 30x median) with a lower return on equity (12.8% vs. 24.7%) and slower revenue growth (-14.2% vs. 5.0%).
P/E vs sector
25.4x
median 30x
ROE vs sector
12.8%
median 24.7%
Growth vs sector
-14.2%
median 5.0%
Sector rank
#73
of 80 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 80 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$75.19 – $125.31
vs. $120.12 today · expected CAGR -9% – 1%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29.30B | $30.18B | $31.08B | $32.01B | $32.98B |
| Net income | $2.34B | $2.41B | $2.49B | $2.56B | $2.64B |
| EPS | $4.45 | $4.59 | $4.72 | $4.87 | $5.01 |
| Share price (low) | $66.80 | $68.81 | $70.87 | $73.00 | $75.19 |
| Share price (high) | $111.34 | $114.68 | $118.12 | $121.66 | $125.31 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -44% / -7% | -24% / -2% | -16% / -1% | -12% / 0% | -9% / 1% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for PCAR:
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against PCAR:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-14.2%), limiting the upside engine.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (34/100).
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-14.2%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Paccar is a large-cap industrials business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 25.4x earnings, which our model scores Weak (34/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.