SMCI
Supermicro
$35.46
▲ 15.7%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▼ Down 31.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$19.83B
P/E
15.9x
Forward P/E (est.)
15.65x
ROE
18.2%
Revenue Growth
56.2%
EPS Growth
1.6%
Profit Margin
3.7%
FCF Yield
39.4%
Debt / Equity
0.76x
ROIC
13.0%
Interest Coverage
119.44x
Current Ratio
2.66x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
1.2%
Rating Score
64/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what SMCI's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. SMCI trades near $35.46, around its 50-day average ($32.81) and 200-day average ($35.55). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 31 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. SMCI's is $4.00 (~11.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month SMCI found buyers near $27.71 (support) and sellers near $51.40 (resistance); its 52-week range is $19.48–$62.36. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.0× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Supermicro (SMCI) is a large-cap company in the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals industry, part of the Information Technology sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $19.83B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $21.97B in revenue and $1.05B in net profit.
Our model rates SMCI Favorable (64/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
57.6%
Revenue moved from $3.56B in 2021 to $21.97B in 2025, a 57.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 56.2% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
11.1%
Operating Margin
5.7%
Net Margin
4.8%
ROE
18.2%
Supermicro keeps about 3.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 11.1% gross margin and 5.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 18.2% and return on invested capital about 13.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$120.18M
Net Debt
-$1.17B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.93x
Debt / Equity
0.76x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 119.4x, with a current ratio of 2.7x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $120.18M of total debt against $1.29B of cash.
Operating CF
$1.66B
Free Cash Flow
$1.53B
FCF Margin
7.0%
In the latest year Supermicro produced about $1.66B of operating cash flow and $1.53B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 39.4% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
15.9x
P/S
0.86x
P/B
4.87x
EV / EBITDA
13.7x
SMCI trades at 15.9x trailing earnings (about 15.6x on estimated forward earnings), 0.9x sales, and 4.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 1.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How SMCI stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Information Technology sector (72 S&P 500 companies), SMCI ranks #30 of 72 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (15.9x P/E vs. 35.6x median) with a lower return on equity (18.2% vs. 25.6%) and faster revenue growth (56.2% vs. 17.4%).
P/E vs sector
15.9x
median 35.6x
ROE vs sector
18.2%
median 25.6%
Growth vs sector
56.2%
median 17.4%
Sector rank
#30
of 72 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 72 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$117.09 – $187.34
vs. $35.46 today · expected CAGR 27% – 40%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $31.86B | $46.20B | $66.98B | $97.13B | $140.83B |
| Net income | $1.59B | $2.31B | $3.35B | $4.86B | $7.04B |
| EPS | $2.65 | $3.84 | $5.57 | $8.07 | $11.71 |
| Share price (low) | $26.49 | $38.41 | $55.69 | $80.75 | $117.09 |
| Share price (high) | $42.38 | $61.45 | $89.10 | $129.20 | $187.34 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -25% / 20% | 4% / 32% | 16% / 36% | 23% / 38% | 27% / 40% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for SMCI:
- Revenue is growing 56.2% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Strong return on equity (18.2%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~39.4%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (64/100).
The case against SMCI:
- Thin net margins (3.7%) leave little room for error.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Margin risk — thin profitability (3.7%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Supermicro is a large-cap information technology business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 15.9x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (64/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.